Wisconsin vs. UCLA Prediction, Odds & Pick

Gridpex Model Prediction

Power rating (Elo)

UCLA 1322

WIS 1502

Projected spread

UCLA +3.2

incl. home edge

Model pick

WIS

59% to win

Market spread

—

sportsbook line

Model edge

None

aligned w/ market

Win prob: model / mkt

41%

UCLA (no market)

Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (UCLA Elo 1322, WIS Elo 1502) plus home-field advantage. That projects UCLA +3.2 (41% to win), essentially in line with the market.

Pregame Win Probability

Gridpex modelWIS 59% · UCLA 41%

Pick: WIS

Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.

Season stats — 2025

WIS2025 season · national rank shownUCLA

254.8135th

Total yards / game

319.8120th

4.4135th

Yards / play

5.2107th

136.4132nd

Passing yards / game

180.3115th

118.3115th

Rushing yards / game

139.685th

32.3%126th

3rd down %

37.3%92nd

323.623rd

Yards allowed / game

387.385th

38.0%54th

3rd down % allowed

55.2%136th

-10123rd

Turnover margin

-386th

3.63rd

Penalties / game

7.5122nd

Key matchups · Pro

WIS pass offense (0.03 PPA) vs. UCLA pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge UCLA.
UCLA pass offense (0.09 PPA) vs. WIS pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge WIS.
WIS rush offense (0.04 PPA) vs. UCLA rush defense (0.23 allowed) — edge UCLA.

FAQ

Who will win Wisconsin vs. UCLA?

Gridpex's model favors Wisconsin with a 59% win probability.

What's the predicted spread for Wisconsin vs. UCLA?

The model projects Wisconsin by 3.2.

What time is Wisconsin vs. UCLA and what channel is it on?

Time TBD, at Rose Bowl.

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.

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Gridiron IQ Model

Pinned · the model's take

I make this Wisconsin at 59% to win, projecting Wisconsin by 3.2.