Snapdragon StadiumCBSSNConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
SDSU 1528
WSU 1549
Projected spread
SDSU -3.6
incl. home edge
Model pick
SDSU
61% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
61%
SDSU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (SDSU Elo 1528, WSU Elo 1549) plus home-field advantage. That projects SDSU -3.6 (61% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWSU 39% · SDSU 61%
Pick: SDSU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced Matchup — 2025
WSU2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedSDSU
Offense
0.13
PPA / play
0.1342%
Success rate
42%1.12
Key matchups · Pro
- WSU pass offense (0.21 PPA) vs. SDSU pass defense (-0.04 allowed) — edge WSU.
- SDSU rush offense (0.17 PPA) vs. WSU rush defense (0.08 allowed) — edge SDSU.
- WSU rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. SDSU rush defense (0.06 allowed) — edge WSU.
FAQ
Who will win Washington State vs. San Diego State?
Gridpex's model favors San Diego State with a 61% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Washington State vs. San Diego State?
The model projects San Diego State by 3.6.
What time is Washington State vs. San Diego State and what channel is it on?
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM on CBSSN, at Snapdragon Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this San Diego State at 61% to win, projecting San Diego State by 3.6.