Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (GT Elo 1595, WAKE Elo 1531) plus home-field advantage. That projects GT -5.5 (66% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelWAKE 34% · GT 66%
Pick: GT
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
WAKE2025 season · national rank shownGT
393.863rd
Total yards / game
460.211th
6.045th
Yards / play
7.0
Key matchups · Pro
GT pass offense (0.42 PPA) vs. WAKE pass defense (0.10 allowed) — edge GT.
GT rush offense (0.19 PPA) vs. WAKE rush defense (-0.02 allowed) — edge GT.
WAKE pass offense (0.25 PPA) vs. GT pass defense (0.29 allowed) — edge GT.
FAQ
Who will win Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech?
Gridpex's model favors Georgia Tech with a 66% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech?
The model projects Georgia Tech by 5.5.
What time is Wake Forest vs. Georgia Tech and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Bobby Dodd Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Georgia Tech at 66% to win, projecting Georgia Tech by 5.5.