Hard Rock StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MIA 2014
VT 1382
Projected spread
MIA -30.7
incl. home edge
Model pick
MIA
99% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
99%
MIA (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MIA Elo 2014, VT Elo 1382) plus home-field advantage. That projects MIA -30.7 (99% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelVT 1% · MIA 99%
Pick: MIA
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
VT2025 season · national rank shownMIA
349.597th
Total yards / game
404.948th5.584th
Yards / play
6.1Key matchups · Pro
- VT rush offense (0.20 PPA) vs. MIA rush defense (0.01 allowed) — edge VT.
- MIA rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. VT rush defense (0.18 allowed) — edge VT.
- VT pass offense (0.15 PPA) vs. MIA pass defense (0.13 allowed) — edge VT.
FAQ
Who will win Virginia Tech vs. Miami?
Gridpex's model favors Miami with a 99% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Virginia Tech vs. Miami?
The model projects Miami by 30.7.
What time is Virginia Tech vs. Miami and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Hard Rock Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Miami at 99% to win, projecting Miami by 30.7.