Kelly/Shorts StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelSAC 73% · CMU 27%
Pick: SAC
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
FAQ
Who will win Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan?
Gridpex's model favors Sacramento State with a 73% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan?
The model projects Sacramento State by 8.3.
What time is Sacramento State vs. Central Michigan and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Kelly/Shorts Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Sacramento State at 73% to win, projecting Sacramento State by 8.3.