Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
OU 1810
MISS 2009
Projected spread
OU +4.3
incl. home edge
Model pick
MISS
63% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
37%
OU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (OU Elo 1810, MISS Elo 2009) plus home-field advantage. That projects OU +4.3 (37% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelMISS 63% · OU 37%
Pick: MISS
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
MISS2025 season · national rank shownOU
490.12nd
Total yards / game
354.593rd6.715th
Yards / play
5.3Key matchups · Pro
- MISS pass offense (0.46 PPA) vs. OU pass defense (0.09 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS rush offense (0.15 PPA) vs. OU rush defense (-0.06 allowed) — edge MISS.
- OU rush offense (0.00 PPA) vs. MISS rush defense (0.19 allowed) — edge MISS.
FAQ
Who will win Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma?
Gridpex's model favors Ole Miss with a 63% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma?
The model projects Ole Miss by 4.3.
What time is Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK).
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Ole Miss at 63% to win, projecting Ole Miss by 4.3.