Milan Puskar StadiumConference game
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
WVU 1291
OKST 1110
Projected spread
WVU -10.2
incl. home edge
Model pick
WVU
78% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
78%
WVU (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (WVU Elo 1291, OKST Elo 1110) plus home-field advantage. That projects WVU -10.2 (78% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelOKST 22% · WVU 78%
Pick: WVU
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
OKST2025 season · national rank shownWVU
292.5130th
Total yards / game
349.696th4.6132nd
Yards / play
4.9Key matchups · Pro
- OKST pass offense (0.07 PPA) vs. WVU pass defense (0.33 allowed) — edge WVU.
- WVU pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. OKST pass defense (0.44 allowed) — edge OKST.
- WVU rush offense (-0.02 PPA) vs. OKST rush defense (0.16 allowed) — edge OKST.
FAQ
Who will win Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?
Gridpex's model favors West Virginia with a 78% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia?
The model projects West Virginia by 10.2.
What time is Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia and what channel is it on?
Time TBD, at Milan Puskar Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this West Virginia at 78% to win, projecting West Virginia by 10.2.