Northern Colorado vs. Wyoming: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
NORTTeam statsWYO
- Q4 1:44WYOKyle Frendt 18 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–21
- Q4 3:44WYOCharlie Coenen 15 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–14
- Q3 7:59NORTLandon Richardson 35 Yd Field Goal 13–7
- Q2 0:25NORTMarcus Mozer 45 Yd pass from Kenny Lueth (Landon Richardson Kick)10–7
- Q2 2:00NORTLandon Richardson 45 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q2 7:19WYOSamuel Harris 4 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = NORT ahead, below = WYO ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassKenny Lueth 13/23, 202 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- RushJustin Guin 17 CAR, 88 YDS
- RecMarcus Mozer 3 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
- PassTyler Hughes 18/26, 149 YDS, 2 TD
- RushMarkell Holman 11 CAR, 80 YDS
- RecJake Wilson 3 REC, 35 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Northern Colorado vs. Wyoming?
Northern Colorado 13, Wyoming 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WYO) was correct.
| NORT | WYO | |
|---|---|---|
| 345 | Total yards | 304 |
| 206 | Passing yards | 149 |
| 139 | Rushing yards | 155 |
| 17 | First downs | 16 |
| 4-12 | 3rd down | 5-12 |
| 0-2 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 14/26 | Comp/Att | 18/26 |
| 7.9 | Yards per pass | 5.7 |
| 3.9 | Yards per rush | 4.6 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 8-61 | Penalties | 7-60 |
| 31:07 | Possession | 28:53 |
- Q4 1:44WYOKyle Frendt 18 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–21
- Q4 3:44WYOCharlie Coenen 15 Yd pass from Tyler Hughes (Erik Sandvik Kick)13–14
- Q3 7:59NORTLandon Richardson 35 Yd Field Goal 13–7
- Q2 0:25NORTMarcus Mozer 45 Yd pass from Kenny Lueth (Landon Richardson Kick)10–7
- Q2 2:00NORTLandon Richardson 45 Yd Field Goal 3–7
- Q2 7:19WYOSamuel Harris 4 Yd Run (Erik Sandvik Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects WYO -23.4 (92% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →