Miami vs. Clemson Prediction, Odds & Pick

Gridpex Model Prediction

Power rating (Elo)

CLEM 1755

MIA 2014

Projected spread

CLEM +8.4

incl. home edge

Model pick

MIA

73% to win

Market spread

—

sportsbook line

Model edge

None

aligned w/ market

Win prob: model / mkt

27%

CLEM (no market)

Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (CLEM Elo 1755, MIA Elo 2014) plus home-field advantage. That projects CLEM +8.4 (27% to win), essentially in line with the market.

Pregame Win Probability

Gridpex modelMIA 73% · CLEM 27%

Pick: MIA

Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.

Season stats — 2025

MIA2025 season · national rank shownCLEM

404.948th

Total yards / game

392.266th

6.134th

Yards / play

5.862nd

253.241st

Passing yards / game

267.824th

151.877th

Rushing yards / game

124.5106th

46.5%19th

3rd down %

34.3%114th

294.211th

Yards allowed / game

357.154th

31.0%11th

3rd down % allowed

32.0%13th

+1011th

Turnover margin

+254th

7.0105th

Penalties / game

4.413th

Key matchups · Pro

MIA pass offense (0.43 PPA) vs. CLEM pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge MIA.
CLEM pass offense (0.28 PPA) vs. MIA pass defense (0.13 allowed) — edge CLEM.
CLEM rush offense (0.10 PPA) vs. MIA rush defense (0.01 allowed) — edge CLEM.

FAQ

Who will win Miami vs. Clemson?

Gridpex's model favors Miami with a 73% win probability.

What's the predicted spread for Miami vs. Clemson?

The model projects Miami by 8.4.

What time is Miami vs. Clemson and what channel is it on?

Time TBD, at Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC).

Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.

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Gridiron IQ Model

Pinned · the model's take

I make this Miami at 73% to win, projecting Miami by 8.4.