Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (GT Elo 1595, COLO Elo 1344) plus home-field advantage. That projects GT -16.6 (89% to win) — 9.1 points of value on GT versus the market line of -7.5.
Pregame Win Probability
Pick: GT · 17 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- GT rush offense (0.19 PPA) vs. COLO rush defense (0.11 allowed) — edge GT.
- COLO pass offense (0.22 PPA) vs. GT pass defense (0.29 allowed) — edge GT.
- COLO rush offense (0.05 PPA) vs. GT rush defense (0.11 allowed) — edge GT.
FAQ
Who will win Colorado vs. Georgia Tech?
Gridpex's model favors Georgia Tech with a 89% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Colorado vs. Georgia Tech?
The model projects Georgia Tech by 16.6.
What time is Colorado vs. Georgia Tech and what channel is it on?
Fri, Sep 4, 12:00 AM on ESPN, at Bobby Dodd Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I make this Georgia Tech at 89% to win, projecting Georgia Tech by 16.6. That's 17 points off the market line — there may be value. Where's the disagreement?