Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MISS 2009
CLT 1023
Projected spread
MISS -48
incl. home edge
Model pick
MISS
100% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
100%
MISS (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MISS Elo 2009, CLT Elo 1023) plus home-field advantage. That projects MISS -48 (100% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelCLT 0% · MISS 100%
Pick: MISS
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
CLT2025 season · national rank shownMISS
285.8132nd
Total yards / game
490.12nd4.6130th
Yards / play
6.7Key matchups · Pro
- CLT rush offense (-0.15 PPA) vs. MISS rush defense (0.19 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS pass offense (0.46 PPA) vs. CLT pass defense (0.34 allowed) — edge MISS.
- MISS rush offense (0.15 PPA) vs. CLT rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge CLT.
FAQ
Who will win Charlotte vs. Ole Miss?
Gridpex's model favors Ole Miss with a 100% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Charlotte vs. Ole Miss?
The model projects Ole Miss by 48.0.
What time is Charlotte vs. Ole Miss and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 12, 11:45 PM, at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Ole Miss at 100% to win, projecting Ole Miss by 48.0.