Hard Rock StadiumThe CW Network
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
MIA 2014
CMU 1232
Projected spread
MIA -32.7
incl. home edge
Model pick
MIA
99% to win
Market spread
—
sportsbook line
Model edge
None
aligned w/ market
Win prob: model / mkt
99%
MIA (no market)
Our model blends Elo + SP+ ratings (MIA Elo 2014, CMU Elo 1232) plus home-field advantage. That projects MIA -32.7 (99% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Pregame Win Probability
Gridpex modelCMU 1% · MIA 99%
Pick: MIA
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Season stats — 2025
CMU2025 season · national rank shownMIA
332.2112th
Total yards / game
404.948th5.587th
Yards / play
6.1Key matchups · Pro
- CMU pass offense (0.40 PPA) vs. MIA pass defense (0.13 allowed) — edge CMU.
- MIA pass offense (0.43 PPA) vs. CMU pass defense (0.19 allowed) — edge MIA.
- CMU rush offense (0.07 PPA) vs. MIA rush defense (0.01 allowed) — edge CMU.
FAQ
Who will win Central Michigan vs. Miami?
Gridpex's model favors Miami with a 99% win probability.
What's the predicted spread for Central Michigan vs. Miami?
The model projects Miami by 32.7.
What time is Central Michigan vs. Miami and what channel is it on?
Sat, Sep 26, 10:30 PM on The CW Network, at Hard Rock Stadium.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
I make this Miami at 99% to win, projecting Miami by 32.7.