Fri, Sep 5, 11:30 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
| NU | 15 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 42 |
NU up 28 entering the 4th quarter. Across 465 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Western Illinois 7, Northwestern 42.
No — the model picked WEST, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had WEST pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Ryan Boe 58 Yd Run (Jack Olsen Kick)
End of 2nd quarter, clock 00:00.
Cam Porter 43 Yd Run (Luke Akers Kick)
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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