Washington vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WASHTeam statsWSU
- Q4 2:40WASHOmari Evans 59 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)59–24
- Q4 10:08WASHJonah Coleman 34 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)52–24
- Q4 11:34WASHAlex McLaughlin 47 Yd Interception Return (Grady Gross Kick)45–24
- Q4 12:49WASHDenzel Boston 7 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)38–24
- Q3 2:38WSUZevi Eckhaus 1 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)31–24
- Q3 8:16WASHJonah Coleman 2 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)31–17
- Q3 10:39WSUDevin Ellison 8 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)24–17
- Q2 0:25WASHGrady Gross 51 Yd Field Goal 24–10
- Q2 5:21WSUJack Stevens 36 Yd Field Goal 21–10
- Q2 10:02WASHJonah Coleman 12 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)21–7
- Q2 12:05WSUBeau Baker 12 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)14–7
- Q1 3:47WASHDemond Williams Jr. 23 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)14–0
- Q1 10:53WASHDenzel Boston 29 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassDemond Williams Jr. 16/19, 298 YDS, 4 TD
- RushDemond Williams Jr. 13 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDenzel Boston 6 REC, 107 YDS, 2 TD
- PassZevi Eckhaus 26/37, 279 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
- RushKirby Vorhees 5 CAR, 13 YDS
- RecJoshua Meredith 3 REC, 70 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWASH up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 10:53WASH +14%
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Denzel Boston for 29 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
- Q3 2:38WSU +14%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 1 yd for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
- Q3 10:39WSU +13%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Devin Ellison for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
- Q2 12:05WSU +11%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Beau Baker for 12 yds for a TD (Jack Stevens KICK)
- Q2 10:02WASH +11%
Jonah Coleman run for 12 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
- Q3 8:16WASH +11%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Washington vs. Washington State?
Washington 59, Washington State 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WASH) was correct.
| WASH | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 471 | Total yards | 304 |
| 298 | Passing yards | 279 |
| 173 | Rushing yards | 25 |
| 23 | First downs | 21 |
| 8-9 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 16/19 | Comp/Att | 26/37 |
| 15.7 | Yards per pass | 7.5 |
| 5.2 | Yards per rush | 0.9 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 5-50 | Penalties | 2-10 |
| 24:14 | Possession | 35:46 |
Costliest call
Q3 4:28 WSU go for it on 4th & 4 at WASH 17. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.34 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 2:40WASHOmari Evans 59 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)59–24
- Q4 10:08WASHJonah Coleman 34 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)52–24
- Q4 11:34WASHAlex McLaughlin 47 Yd Interception Return (Grady Gross Kick)45–24
- Q4 12:49WASHDenzel Boston 7 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)38–24
- Q3 2:38WSUZevi Eckhaus 1 Yd Run (Jack Stevens Kick)31–24
- Q3 8:16WASHJonah Coleman 2 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)31–17
- Q3 10:39WSUDevin Ellison 8 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)24–17
- Q2 0:25WASHGrady Gross 51 Yd Field Goal 24–10
- Q2 5:21WSUJack Stevens 36 Yd Field Goal 21–10
- Q2 10:02WASHJonah Coleman 12 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)21–7
- Q2 12:05WSUBeau Baker 12 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Jack Stevens Kick)14–7
- Q1 3:47WASHDemond Williams Jr. 23 Yd Run (Grady Gross Kick)14–0
- Q1 10:53WASHDenzel Boston 29 Yd pass from Demond Williams Jr. (Grady Gross Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WSU Elo 1379, WASH Elo 1604 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WSU +6.6 (34% to win) — 14.4 points clear of WSU's market line of +21. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesWashington leads 69–32–4 · 41% have been one-possession games
| WASH | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| +21.7 (#11) | CORE overall | +10.0 (#40) |
| +13 / -9 | offense / defense | +3 / -7 |
| 3.06 | points / drive | 2.11 |
| 1.93 | allowed / drive | 1.86 |
| 19% | three-and-outs | 27% |
| +2 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →