Syracuse vs. Notre Dame: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
SYRTeam statsND
- Q4 0:07SYRJoseph Filardi 6 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)7–70
- Q4 6:06NDKenny Minchey 25 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–70
- Q4 13:32NDAneyas Williams 30 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–63
- Q3 14:23NDJeremiyah Love 68 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–56
- Q2 6:49NDJeremiyah Love 14 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–49
- Q2 14:56NDWill Pauling 6 Yd pass from CJ Carr (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–42
- Q1 4:01NDJadarian Price 58 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–35
- Q1 6:32NDJeremiyah Love 45 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–28
- Q1 9:50NDLeonard Moore 46 Yd Interception Return (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–21
- Q1 12:19NDLuke Talich 22 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:03NDJalen Stroman 44 Yd Interception Return (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassJoseph Filardi 14/26, 83 YDS, 3 INT
- RushJoseph Filardi 14 CAR, 33 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDan Villari 5 REC, 30 YDS
- PassCJ Carr 5/9, 49 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJeremiyah Love 8 CAR, 171 YDS, 3 TD
- RecJordan Faison 2 REC, 21 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsND up 56 entering the 4th quarter. Across 100 historically comparable game states (within ±3 pts and ±5 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Syracuse vs. Notre Dame?
Syracuse 7, Notre Dame 70.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ND) was correct.
| SYR | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| 207 | Total yards | 396 |
| 95 | Passing yards | 67 |
| 112 | Rushing yards | 329 |
| 18 | First downs | 17 |
| 7-18 | 3rd down | 4-7 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 17/30 | Comp/Att | 9/15 |
| 3.2 | Yards per pass | 4.5 |
| 2.2 | Yards per rush | 13.7 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-39 | Penalties | 5-55 |
| 41:50 | Possession | 18:10 |
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 0:07SYRJoseph Filardi 6 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)7–70
- Q4 6:06NDKenny Minchey 25 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–70
- Q4 13:32NDAneyas Williams 30 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–63
- Q3 14:23NDJeremiyah Love 68 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–56
- Q2 6:49NDJeremiyah Love 14 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–49
- Q2 14:56NDWill Pauling 6 Yd pass from CJ Carr (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–42
- Q1 4:01NDJadarian Price 58 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–35
- Q1 6:32NDJeremiyah Love 45 Yd Run (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–28
- Q1 9:50NDLeonard Moore 46 Yd Interception Return (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–21
- Q1 12:19NDLuke Talich 22 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:03NDJalen Stroman 44 Yd Interception Return (Erik Schmidt Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ND Elo 2189, SYR Elo 1304 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects ND -37.8 (98% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesNotre Dame leads 9–3 · Notre Dame has won 6 straight · 25% have been one-possession games
| SYR | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| -20.9 (#127) | CORE overall | +38.3 (#2) |
| -14 / +7 | offense / defense | +20 / -18 |
| 1.12 | points / drive | 3.84 |
| 2.89 | allowed / drive | 1.28 |
| 32% | three-and-outs | 17% |
| -2 | pass over expected | +0 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →