Syracuse vs. Clemson: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
SYRTeam statsCLEM
- Q4 9:00CLEMBryant Wesco Jr. 9 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)34–21
- Q3 2:12SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 18 Yd pass from Rickie Collins (Tripp Woody Kick)34–14
- Q3 11:44SYRTripp Woody 49 Yd Field Goal 27–14
- Q2 1:06CLEMAdam Randall 6 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)24–14
- Q2 9:13SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 22 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)24–7
- Q2 14:56SYRWill Nixon 9 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)17–7
- Q1 3:21CLEMBryant Wesco Jr. 38 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)10–7
- Q1 7:40SYRTripp Woody 23 Yd Field Goal 10–0
- Q1 11:01SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 12 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)7–0
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- SYR lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 14% explosive on a 37% success rate
- PassSteve Angeli 18/31, 245 YDS, 2 TD
- RushYasin Willis 18 CAR, 94 YDS
- RecJohntay Cook II 6 REC, 113 YDS
- PassCade Klubnik 37/60, 363 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushAdam Randall 16 CAR, 130 YDS
- RecT.J. Moore 8 REC, 92 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsSYR up 20 entering the 4th quarter. Across 818 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 14:56SYR +20%
Will Nixon run for 9 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
- Q2 1:06CLEM +19%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
- Q1 3:21CLEM +19%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 38 yds for a TD Syracuse Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (David Clement) declined (Nolan Hauser KICK)
- Q2 9:13SYR +19%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
- Q1 11:01SYR +17%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 12 yds for a TD (Tripp Woody KICK)
- Q3 11:44SYR +16%
Tripp Woody 49 yd FG GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Syracuse vs. Clemson?
Syracuse 34, Clemson 21.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked CLEM, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| SYR | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 433 | Total yards | 503 |
| 279 | Passing yards | 363 |
| 154 | Rushing yards | 140 |
| 24 | First downs | 29 |
| 3-15 | 3rd down | 3-13 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 1-5 |
| 21/39 | Comp/Att | 37/61 |
| 7.2 | Yards per pass | 6.0 |
| 4.1 | Yards per rush | 6.4 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-52 | Penalties | 8-75 |
| 30:41 | Possession | 29:19 |
Costliest call
Q2 12:52 CLEM punt on 4th & 5 at SYR 40. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.67 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 9:00CLEMBryant Wesco Jr. 9 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)34–21
- Q3 2:12SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 18 Yd pass from Rickie Collins (Tripp Woody Kick)34–14
- Q3 11:44SYRTripp Woody 49 Yd Field Goal 27–14
- Q2 1:06CLEMAdam Randall 6 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)24–14
- Q2 9:13SYRDarrell Gill Jr. 22 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)24–7
- Q2 14:56SYRWill Nixon 9 Yd Run (Tripp Woody Kick)17–7
- Q1 3:21CLEMBryant Wesco Jr. 38 Yd pass from Cade Klubnik (Nolan Hauser Kick)10–7
- Q1 7:40SYRTripp Woody 23 Yd Field Goal 10–0
- Q1 11:01SYRJustus Ross-Simmons 12 Yd pass from Steve Angeli (Tripp Woody Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (CLEM Elo 1693, SYR Elo 1484 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects CLEM -10.8 (77% to win) — 6.7 points clear of SYR's market line of -17.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#16 of 112 in 2025 by biggest miss · #9 of 129 in 2025 by longest odds.
The 2025 upset archive →Clemson leads 10–3 · 31% have been one-possession games
| SYR | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| -20.9 (#127) | CORE overall | +4.9 (#56) |
| -14 / +7 | offense / defense | +2 / -3 |
| 1.12 | points / drive | 2.25 |
| 2.89 | allowed / drive | 1.84 |
| 32% | three-and-outs | 26% |
| -2 | pass over expected | +9 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →