| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ODU | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| JMU | 14 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 63 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (JMU Elo 1643, ODU Elo 1554) plus home-field advantage. That projects JMU -6 (67% to win) — 3.0 points of value on JMU versus the market line of -3.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = ODU ahead, below = JMU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- ODU pass offense (0.41 PPA) vs. JMU pass defense (0.10 allowed) — edge ODU.
- JMU pass offense (0.29 PPA) vs. ODU pass defense (0.09 allowed) — edge JMU.
- JMU rush offense (0.21 PPA) vs. ODU rush defense (0.01 allowed) — edge JMU.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
JMU up 22 entering the 4th quarter. Across 824 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Old Dominion vs. James Madison?
Old Dominion 27, James Madison 63.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (JMU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had JMU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.