Oklahoma vs. South Carolina: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
OUTeam statsSC
- Q4 4:22OUTeam Safety 26–7
- Q3 2:06OUIsaiah Sategna III 20 Yd pass from John Mateer (Tate Sandell Kick)24–7
- Q3 6:01OUTate Sandell 55 Yd Field Goal 17–7
- Q2 1:43SCNyck Harbor 2 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (William Joyce Kick)14–7
- Q2 9:21OUXavier Robinson 10 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)14–0
- Q1 9:42OUTory Blaylock 18 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassJohn Mateer 18/26, 150 YDS, 1 TD
- RushTory Blaylock 19 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
- RecIsaiah Sategna III 7 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
- PassLaNorris Sellers 17/25, 124 YDS, 1 TD
- RushRahsul Faison 10 CAR, 50 YDS
- RecJayden Sellers 6 REC, 57 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOU up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 9:42OU +18%
Tory Blaylock run for 18 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
- Q2 1:43SC +17%
LaNorris Sellers pass complete to Nyck Harbor for 2 yds for a TD (William Joyce KICK)
- Q2 9:21OU +15%
Xavier Robinson run for 10 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
- Q3 6:01OU +9%
Tate Sandell 55 yd FG GOOD
- Q3 2:06OU +8%
John Mateer pass complete to Isaiah Sategna III for 20 yds for a TD (Tate Sandell KICK)
- Q3 9:42OU +7%
Grayson Miller punt for 40 yds
FAQ
What was the final score of Oklahoma vs. South Carolina?
Oklahoma 26, South Carolina 7.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked SC, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| OU | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 319 | Total yards | 224 |
| 148 | Passing yards | 170 |
| 171 | Rushing yards | 54 |
| 20 | First downs | 15 |
| 8-16 | 3rd down | 3-15 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 4-7 |
| 19/27 | Comp/Att | 21/33 |
| 5.5 | Yards per pass | 5.2 |
| 4.3 | Yards per rush | 1.6 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 10-98 | Penalties | 4-35 |
| 33:38 | Possession | 26:22 |
Costliest call
Q4 6:04 SC go for it on 4th & 36 at SC 28. The model preferred punt, a gap of 1.43 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 4:22OUTeam Safety 26–7
- Q3 2:06OUIsaiah Sategna III 20 Yd pass from John Mateer (Tate Sandell Kick)24–7
- Q3 6:01OUTate Sandell 55 Yd Field Goal 17–7
- Q2 1:43SCNyck Harbor 2 Yd pass from LaNorris Sellers (William Joyce Kick)14–7
- Q2 9:21OUXavier Robinson 10 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)14–0
- Q1 9:42OUTory Blaylock 18 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (SC Elo 1670, OU Elo 1741 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects SC +0.4 (50% to win) — 4.1 points clear of SC's market line of +4.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| OU | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| +17.8 (#21) | CORE overall | +5.3 (#53) |
| -2 / -19 | offense / defense | -1 / -7 |
| 1.93 | points / drive | 1.48 |
| 1.22 | allowed / drive | 1.63 |
| 26% | three-and-outs | 27% |
| +5 | pass over expected | -2 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →