Hancock Whitney Stadium
Sat, Aug 30, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| USA | 7 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 38 |
Pick: USA
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
USA up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Morgan State 21, South Alabama 38.
Yes — the model's pick (USA) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had USA pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Randall Nauden run for 56 yds to the USA 19 for a 1ST down
Kobe Muasau pass complete to Ferdinand Nyivih for 24 yds to the USA 30 for a 1ST down
Bishop Davenport pass complete to Anthony Eager for 34 yds to the MORG 40 for a 1ST down
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