| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MONT | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 |
| ORE | 17 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 59 |
Pick: ORE · 7 pts off the market line
Play-by-play win probability appears once the game kicks off.
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
ORE up 46 entering the 4th quarter. Across 107 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Montana State 13, Oregon 59.
Yes — the model's pick (ORE) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had ORE pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Dante Moore pass complete to Jay Harris for 50 yds to the MTST 14 for a 1ST down
Noah Whittington run for 35 yds to the MTST 39 for a 1ST down
Dante Moore pass complete to Malik Benson for 11 yds for a TD (Atticus Sappington KICK)
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