| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LT | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| KENN | 0 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 35 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (KENN Elo 1223, LT Elo 1490) plus home-field advantage. That projects KENN +8.3 (27% to win) — 3.3 points of value on LT versus the market line of +5.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = LT ahead, below = KENN ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- KENN pass offense (0.33 PPA) vs. LT pass defense (0.14 allowed) — edge KENN.
- KENN rush offense (0.11 PPA) vs. LT rush defense (0.02 allowed) — edge KENN.
- LT rush offense (0.14 PPA) vs. KENN rush defense (0.16 allowed) — edge KENN.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
KENN up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw State?
Louisiana Tech 7, Kennesaw State 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked LT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had LT pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.