Idaho vs. Washington State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Idaho
Washington State
▸Final
Gesa Field
IDAHTeam statsWSU
221Total yards211
33Pass208
188Rush3
16First downs13
7-163rd down3-12
2Turnovers1
35:11Possession24:46
- Q4 0:03WSUJack Stevens 32 Yd Field Goal 10–13
- Q4 1:42IDAHCameron Pope 21 Yd Field Goal 10–10
- Q4 7:25IDAHArt Williams 3 Yd Run (Cameron Pope Kick)7–10
- Q3 1:18WSUJack Stevens 30 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q2 11:30WSUJoshua Meredith 6 Yd pass from Jaxon Potter (Jack Stevens Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
WSU −16.5
Against the number
IDAH covered
line WSU −16.5
Kickoff142 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
WSU (top)IDAH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: WSU 100%
Closing line
WSU −16.5
Closing total
51.0
Model line
—
Actual result
IDAH 10 – 13 WSU
Idaho
- PassJoshua Wood 12/20, 33 YDS
- RushJoshua Wood 12 CAR, 101 YDS
- RecRyan Jezioro 3 REC, 26 YDS
Washington State
- PassJaxon Potter 23/30, 208 YDS, 1 TD
- RushKirby Vorhees 6 CAR, 19 YDS
- RecTony Freeman 7 REC, 64 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWSU up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
88%
WSU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Idaho vs. Washington State?
Idaho 10, Washington State 13.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WSU) was correct.
IDAH
WSU
45%
Success rate
34%
0.02
EPA / pass
0.17
0.02
EPA / rush
-0.12
46%
Early-down success
33%
42%
Pass success
43%
46%
Rush success
19%
5%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
9%
22%
Stuffed rush rate
52%
29%
Pass rate
63%
6.6
Avg 3rd-down distance
8.1
IDAH
6.6 yards to go on 3rd down
65 scrimmage snaps
WSU
8.1 yards to go on 3rd down
56 scrimmage snaps
| IDAH | WSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 221 | Total yards | 211 |
| 33 | Passing yards | 208 |
| 188 | Rushing yards | 3 |
| 16 | First downs | 13 |
| 7-16 | 3rd down | 3-12 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 12/20 | Comp/Att | 23/32 |
| 1.7 | Yards per pass | 6.5 |
| 4.2 | Yards per rush | 0.1 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-57 | Penalties | 7-48 |
| 35:11 | Possession | 24:46 |
IDAH
4/7 with the model
−1.2 pts · −0.0% win prob
WSU
7/9 with the model
−0.5 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q4 1:42 IDAH field goal on 4th & 3 at WSU 4. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.45 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishIDAH 2/11 scoring drives← own end zone →WSU 3/11 scoring drives
IDAHPUNT9 pl, 28 yds· own 23Q1
WSUPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 7Q1
IDAHPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· opp 38Q1
WSUPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 3Q1
IDAHMISS6 pl, 23 yds· midfieldQ1
WSUTD8 pl, 73 yds· own 27Q1
IDAHFUM2 pl, 17 yds· own 28Q2
WSUPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· opp 45Q2
IDAHPUNT15 pl, 53 yds· own 3Q2
WSUEND9 pl, 36 yds· own 10Q2
WSUPUNT3 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q3
IDAHPUNT5 pl, 15 yds· own 38Q3
WSUPUNT7 pl, 26 yds· own 10Q3
IDAHFUM3 pl, -4 yds· own 22Q3
WSUFG4 pl, 5 yds· opp 18Q3
IDAHTD16 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
WSUPUNT3 pl, -19 yds· own 22Q4
IDAHPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· opp 46Q4
WSUFUM4 pl, 4 yds· own 7Q4
IDAHFG4 pl, 7 yds· opp 11Q4
WSUFG9 pl, 59 yds· own 26Q4
IDAHUncateg1 pl, -18 yds· own 25Q4
- Q4 0:03WSUJack Stevens 32 Yd Field Goal 10–13
- Q4 1:42IDAHCameron Pope 21 Yd Field Goal 10–10
- Q4 7:25IDAHArt Williams 3 Yd Run (Cameron Pope Kick)7–10
- Q3 1:18WSUJack Stevens 30 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q2 11:30WSUJoshua Meredith 6 Yd pass from Jaxon Potter (Jack Stevens Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
The matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesThe series74 meetings since 1917
Washington State leads 64–8–2 · Washington State has won 11 straight · 34% have been one-possession games
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →