| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDAH | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| SJSU | 0 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
Tied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Idaho 28, San José State 31.
No — the model picked IDAH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had IDAH pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Jabari Bates run for 87 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)
Joshua Wood pass complete to Daveon Superales for 36 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST down
Joshua Wood pass intercepted Isiah Revis return for no gain to the SJSU 6
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