| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDAH | 0 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| UNM | 7 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 32 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
UNM up 4 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,449 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Idaho State 22, New Mexico 32.
No — the model picked IDAH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had IDAH pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Scottre Humphrey run for 61 yds for a TD (Luke Drzewiecki KICK)
Davis Harsin pass intercepted
Davis Harsin pass intercepted
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