Grambling vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap

CommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Grambling

00

Ohio State1-0

▸0070

Final

Ohio Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
GRAM	0	0	0	0	0
OSU	21	14	21	14	70

GRAMTeam statsOSU

166Total yards651

72Pass377

94Rush274

10First downs32

3-143rd down5-7

3Turnovers1

29:05Possession30:55

Scoring plays

• Q4 0:31OSUSam Dixon 1 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–70
• Q4 14:55OSUJelani Thurman 4 Yd pass from Lincoln Kienholz (Jackson Courville Kick)0–63
• Q3 6:16OSUIsaiah West 12 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–56
• Q3 8:24OSUBo Jackson 11 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–49
• Q3 14:50OSURiley Pettijohn 23 Yd Fumble Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–42
• Q2 0:57OSUCJ Donaldson 2 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–35
• Q2 11:38OSUJeremiah Smith 9 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–28
• Q1 4:10OSUCarnell Tate 13 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–21
• Q1 8:54OSUJeremiah Smith 87 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–14
• Q1 12:39OSUWill Kacmarek 47 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

OSU −53.5

Against the number

OSU covered

line OSU −53.5

What the numbers say

• GRAM played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and OSU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 7.0 vs 3rd & 3.4

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

GRAM aheadOSU ahead

Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = GRAM ahead, below = OSU ahead.

GRIDPEX.COM

Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

OSU −53.5

Closing total

63.5

Model line

—

Actual result

GRAM 0 – 70 OSU

Leaders

Grambling

• PassC'zavian Teasett 9/15, 55 YDS, 1 INT
• RushAndre Crews 5 CAR, 38 YDS
• RecKeith Jones Jr. 2 REC, 19 YDS

Ohio State

• PassJulian Sayin 18/19, 306 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
• RushBo Jackson 9 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
• RecJeremiah Smith 5 REC, 119 YDS, 2 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

4.2sper snap · faster the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

120

Points / snap

0.58

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

OSU up 56 entering the 4th quarter. Across 100 historically comparable game states (within ±3 pts and ±5 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

OSU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WEastern Michigan vs South Alabama59-10WArkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff70-0WUConn vs Merrimack63-17WIncarnate Word vs North American University63-3WSan José State vs Cal Poly59-3

Fourth downs

12 calls

Neither coaching staff gave up anything measurable.GRAM 9/9 · OSU 2/2 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Grambling vs. Ohio State?

Grambling 0, Ohio State 70.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (OSU) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

GRAM

OSU

26%

Success rate

75%

-0.18

EPA / pass

0.55

-0.08

EPA / rush

0.68

26%

Early-down success

75%

30%

Pass success

79%

23%

Rush success

71%

6%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

13%

23%

Stuffed rush rate

8%

43%

Pass rate

43%

7.0

Avg 3rd-down distance

3.4

GRAM

7.0 yards to go on 3rd down

53 scrimmage snaps

OSU

3.4 yards to go on 3rd down

67 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

GRAM		OSU
166	Total yards	651
72	Passing yards	377
94	Rushing yards	274
10	First downs	32
3-14	3rd down	5-7
1-1	4th down	1-1
11/22	Comp/Att	24/28
3.3	Yards per pass	13.5
2.8	Yards per rush	7.2
3	Turnovers	1
6-40	Penalties	3-15
29:05	Possession	30:55

Fourth downs

12 calls

GRAM

9/9 with the model

nothing given up

OSU

2/2 with the model

nothing given up

No fourth-down call in this game cost more than a rounding error.

Every call, priced (12)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

GRAM 1/13 scoring drives← own end zone →OSU 9/11 scoring drives

OSUTD6 pl, 83 yds· own 17Q1

GRAMPUNT5 pl, 17 yds· own 25Q1

OSUTD1 pl, 87 yds· own 13Q1

GRAMPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q1

OSUTD7 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1

GRAMMISS12 pl, 56 yds· own 25Q1

OSUTD6 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q2

GRAMINT3 pl, 2 yds· own 16Q2

OSUINT4 pl, 16 yds· opp 21Q2

GRAMPUNT6 pl, 30 yds· own 1Q2

OSUTD8 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2

GRAMEND3 pl, 2 yds· own 25Q2

GRAMTD1 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q3

GRAMPUNT6 pl, 16 yds· own 25Q3

OSUTD9 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q3

GRAMFUM2 pl, 16 yds· own 25Q3

OSUTD3 pl, 41 yds· opp 41Q3

GRAMPUNT3 pl, -10 yds· own 25Q3

OSUTD8 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q3

GRAMPUNT6 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q4

OSUPUNT5 pl, 19 yds· own 13Q4

GRAMPUNT5 pl, 15 yds· own 23Q4

OSUTD9 pl, 84 yds· own 16Q4

GRAMEND1 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 0:31OSUSam Dixon 1 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–70
• Q4 14:55OSUJelani Thurman 4 Yd pass from Lincoln Kienholz (Jackson Courville Kick)0–63
• Q3 6:16OSUIsaiah West 12 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–56
• Q3 8:24OSUBo Jackson 11 Yd Run (Jackson Courville Kick)0–49
• Q3 14:50OSURiley Pettijohn 23 Yd Fumble Return (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–42
• Q2 0:57OSUCJ Donaldson 2 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–35
• Q2 11:38OSUJeremiah Smith 9 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–28
• Q1 4:10OSUCarnell Tate 13 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–21
• Q1 8:54OSUJeremiah Smith 87 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–14
• Q1 12:39OSUWill Kacmarek 47 Yd pass from Julian Sayin (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →