Georgia Tech vs. BYU: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
GTTeam statsBYU
- Q4 2:00BYUJovesa Damuni 4 Yd Run (Will Ferrin Kick)21–25
- Q4 11:13BYUEnoch Nawahine 2 Yd Run (Bear Bachmeier Run for Two-Point Conversion)21–18
- Q2 5:15GTJ.T. Byrne 6 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)21–10
- Q2 5:28GTEric Rivers 5 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)14–10
- Q2 9:49BYUWill Ferrin 22 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q1 0:20GTTrelain Maddox 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)7–7
- Q1 4:56BYUChase Roberts 7 Yd pass from Bear Bachmeier (Will Ferrin Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = GT ahead, below = BYU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassHaynes King 22/40, 254 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushMalachi Hosley 11 CAR, 63 YDS
- RecMalik Rutherford 8 REC, 105 YDS
- PassBear Bachmeier 27/38, 325 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushJovesa Damuni 7 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
- RecCarsen Ryan 8 REC, 120 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Georgia Tech vs. BYU?
Georgia Tech 21, BYU 25.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BYU) was correct.
| GT | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| 385 | Total yards | 425 |
| 254 | Passing yards | 329 |
| 131 | Rushing yards | 96 |
| 21 | First downs | 26 |
| 4-12 | 3rd down | 5-10 |
| 2-3 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 22/40 | Comp/Att | 28/40 |
| 6.4 | Yards per pass | 8.2 |
| 4.7 | Yards per rush | 4.2 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-49 | Penalties | 4-49 |
| 28:49 | Possession | 31:11 |
- Q4 2:00BYUJovesa Damuni 4 Yd Run (Will Ferrin Kick)21–25
- Q4 11:13BYUEnoch Nawahine 2 Yd Run (Bear Bachmeier Run for Two-Point Conversion)21–18
- Q2 5:15GTJ.T. Byrne 6 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)21–10
- Q2 5:28GTEric Rivers 5 Yd pass from Haynes King (Aidan Birr Kick)14–10
- Q2 9:49BYUWill Ferrin 22 Yd Field Goal 7–10
- Q1 0:20GTTrelain Maddox 3 Yd Run (Aidan Birr Kick)7–7
- Q1 4:56BYUChase Roberts 7 Yd pass from Bear Bachmeier (Will Ferrin Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (BYU Elo 1750, GT Elo 1595 for reference), on a neutral field. That projects BYU -6.2 (67% to win) — 2.7 points clear of BYU's market line of -3.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| GT | BYU | |
|---|---|---|
| +10.6 (#38) | CORE overall | +18.0 (#20) |
| +13 / +3 | offense / defense | +10 / -8 |
| 2.86 | points / drive | 2.61 |
| 2.39 | allowed / drive | 1.85 |
| 22% | three-and-outs | 19% |
| -1 | pass over expected | -0 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →