Sat, Sep 6, 10:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLOR | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| FAU | 22 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 56 |
FAU up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Florida A&M 14, Florida Atlantic 56.
No — the model picked FLOR, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had FLOR pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
RJ Johnson III pass complete to Jordan Edwards for 65 yds for a TD (Daniel Porto KICK)
RJ Johnson III pass incomplete to Armand Burris
RJ Johnson III pass incomplete to Armand Burris
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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