Florida A&M vs. Florida Atlantic: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Florida A&M

Florida Atlantic0-1

▸

Final

FAU Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
FLOR	0	0	7	7	14
FAU	22	17	0	17	56

FLORTeam statsFAU

296Total yards553

227Pass360

69Rush193

16First downs34

5-163rd down5-13

0Turnovers0

30:15Possession29:45

Q4 3:53FAUGarrison Smith 48 Yd Field Goal 14–56
Q4 7:09FAUKaden Shields-Dutton 1 Yd Run (Garrison Smith Kick)14–53
Q4 10:23FLORJordan Edwards 65 Yd pass from RJ Johnson III (Daniel Porto Kick)14–46
Q4 12:22FAUAsaad Waseem 0 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Garrison Smith Kick)7–46
Q3 8:57FLORJamar Taylor 27 Yd pass from RJ Johnson III (Daniel Porto Kick)7–39
Q2 3:18FAUGarrison Smith 29 Yd Field Goal 0–39
Q2 7:26FAUDominique Henry 3 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Garrison Smith Kick)0–36
Q2 10:17FAUJayshon Platt 14 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Garrison Smith Kick)0–29
Q1 2:37FAUAsaad Waseem 12 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Garrison Smith Kick)0–22
Q1 7:09FAULawrence Johnson 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Garrison Smith Kick)0–15
Q1 11:15FAUDominique Henry 24 Yd pass from Caden Veltkamp (Jackson Lee Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)0–8

How the model called it

Market line

FAU −21

Against the number

FAU covered

line FAU −21

What the numbers say

FLOR played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and FAU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 11.8 vs 3rd & 6.4

Kickoff161 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

FAU (top)FLOR (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: FAU 100%

Closing line

FAU −21

Closing total

51.0

Model line

—

Actual result

FLOR 14 – 56 FAU

Florida A&M

PassReginald Johnson 18/28, 222 YDS, 2 TD
RushThad Franklin Jr. 11 CAR, 58 YDS
RecJordan Edwards 2 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD

Florida Atlantic

PassCaden Veltkamp 27/39, 309 YDS, 5 TD
RushGemari Sands 10 CAR, 83 YDS
RecEaston Messer 4 REC, 62 YDS

24.5sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

147

Points / snap

0.48

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

FAU up 32 entering the 4th quarter. Across 373 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

FAU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WArkansas vs Western Carolina56-13 WMontana State vs Utah Tech63-20 WTexas A&M vs New Mexico52-10 WArizona vs Northern Arizona38-3 WNC State vs VMI45-7

FAQ

What was the final score of Florida A&M vs. Florida Atlantic?

Florida A&M 14, Florida Atlantic 56.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (FAU) was correct.

FLOR

FAU

32%

Success rate

56%

0.11

EPA / pass

0.45

0.05

EPA / rush

0.34

31%

Early-down success

57%

34%

Pass success

52%

29%

Rush success

61%

11%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

16%

18%

Stuffed rush rate

12%

58%

Pass rate

59%

11.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.4

FLOR

11.8 yards to go on 3rd down

66 scrimmage snaps

FAU

6.4 yards to go on 3rd down

81 scrimmage snaps

FLOR		FAU
296	Total yards	553
227	Passing yards	360
69	Rushing yards	193
16	First downs	34
5-16	3rd down	5-13
1-2	4th down	3-3
19/35	Comp/Att	29/45
6.5	Yards per pass	8.0
2.3	Yards per rush	5.7
0	Turnovers	0
6-52	Penalties	2-15
30:15	Possession	29:45

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

FLORTeam statsFAU

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Florida A&M vs. Florida Atlantic?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Florida A&M vs. Florida Atlantic: Final Score & Recap

FLORTeam statsFAU

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Florida A&M vs. Florida Atlantic?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?