Pittsburgh
ACC· Elo 1470
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUQU | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| PITT | 14 | 20 | 14 | 13 | 61 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
PITT up 42 entering the 4th quarter. Across 170 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Duquesne 9, Pittsburgh 61.
Yes — the model's pick (PITT) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had PITT pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Cole Gonzales pass complete to Bryce Yates for 60 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
Desmond Reid run for 53 yds for a TD (Trey Butkowski KICK)
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Joey Isabella for 59 yds to the PITT 2 for a 1ST down
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