Fri, Aug 29, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETH | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| FIU | 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = BETH ahead, below = FIU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
FIU up 29 entering the 4th quarter. Across 527 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Bethune-Cookman 9, Florida International 42.
No — the model picked BETH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had BETH pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Cam'Ron Ransom pass complete to Javon Ross for 59 yds to the FIU 25 for a 1ST down
Timmy McClain pass complete to Ali Scott Jr. for no gain to the FIU 15
Devonte Lyons run for 35 yds for a TD (Robert Czeremcha KICK)
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