Bethune-Cookman vs. Florida International: Final Score & Recap

CommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Bethune-Cookman

09

Florida International

▸0042

Final

Pitbull Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
BETH	3	3	0	3	9
FIU	7	21	7	7	42

BETHTeam statsFIU

346Total yards456

241Pass233

105Rush223

17First downs28

5-153rd down8-14

1Turnovers1

27:59Possession32:01

Scoring plays

• Q4 7:01FIUAnthony Carrie 2 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)9–42
• Q4 12:12BETHJuan Dominguez 28 Yd Field Goal 9–35
• Q3 12:44FIUKeyone Jenkins 4 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)6–35
• Q2 1:29BETHJuan Dominguez 22 Yd Field Goal 6–28
• Q2 5:17FIUDevonte Lyons 35 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–28
• Q2 9:43FIUKeyone Jenkins 6 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–21
• Q2 14:49FIUKejon Owens 16 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–14
• Q1 8:34FIUKejon Owens 2 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–7
• Q1 11:46BETHJuan Dominguez 35 Yd Field Goal 3–0

How the model called it

Market line

FIU −26.5

Against the number

FIU covered

line FIU −26.5

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

BETH aheadFIU ahead

Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = BETH ahead, below = FIU ahead.

GRIDPEX.COM

Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

FIU −26.5

Closing total

54.5

Model line

—

Actual result

BETH 9 – 42 FIU

Leaders

Bethune-Cookman

• PassTimmy McClain 18/28, 164 YDS
• RushMarqui Johnson 9 CAR, 76 YDS
• RecJavon Ross 6 REC, 109 YDS

Florida International

• PassKeyone Jenkins 18/30, 187 YDS
• RushKejon Owens 11 CAR, 71 YDS, 2 TD
• RecEric Nelson Jr. 2 REC, 47 YDS

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

11.9sper snap · faster the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

143

Points / snap

0.36

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

FIU up 29 entering the 4th quarter. Across 527 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

99%

FIU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WOregon vs Stanford42-6WNorth Dakota State vs Murray State38-6WWyoming vs Nevada42-6WJames Madison vs Coastal Carolina39-7WSouth Dakota State vs Missouri State45-9

Fourth downs

15 calls

BETH gave up 0.9 points to the model on fourth down.BETH 5/9 · FIU 5/5 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Bethune-Cookman vs. Florida International?

Bethune-Cookman 9, Florida International 42.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (FIU) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

BETH

FIU

32%

Success rate

57%

-0.04

EPA / pass

0.12

-0.00

EPA / rush

0.69

33%

Early-down success

56%

29%

Pass success

51%

36%

Rush success

62%

12%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

12%

18%

Stuffed rush rate

14%

59%

Pass rate

50%

7.8

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.8

BETH

7.8 yards to go on 3rd down

69 scrimmage snaps

FIU

5.8 yards to go on 3rd down

74 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

BETH		FIU
346	Total yards	456
241	Passing yards	233
105	Rushing yards	223
17	First downs	28
5-15	3rd down	8-14
0-3	4th down	1-2
23/39	Comp/Att	22/35
6.2	Yards per pass	6.7
3.5	Yards per rush	5.9
1	Turnovers	1
8-75	Penalties	7-40
27:59	Possession	32:01

Fourth downs

15 calls

BETH

5/9 with the model

−0.9 pts · −0.0% win prob

FIU

5/5 with the model

nothing given up

Costliest call

Q2 0:19 BETH go for it on 4th & 10 at FIU 32. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.59 points.

Every call, priced (15)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

BETH 3/12 scoring drives← own end zone →FIU 6/11 scoring drives

BETHFG7 pl, 62 yds· own 20Q1

FIUTD7 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q1

BETHPUNT4 pl, 22 yds· own 25Q1

FIUTD15 pl, 89 yds· own 11Q1

BETHPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 35Q2

FIUTD9 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2

BETHPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 27Q2

FIUTD5 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q2

BETHFG12 pl, 70 yds· own 25Q2

FIUPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q2

BETHDOWNS6 pl, 21 yds· own 39Q2

FIUDOWNS4 pl, 6 yds· own 40Q2

BETHEND1 pl, -1 yds· opp 46Q2

FIUPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 38Q3

BETHFUM2 pl, 4 yds· own 8Q3

FIUTD3 pl, 12 yds· opp 12Q3

BETHPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 20Q3

BETHDOWNS7 pl, 19 yds· opp 34Q3

FIUMISS11 pl, 58 yds· own 15Q3

BETHFG12 pl, 62 yds· own 27Q3

FIUTD10 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4

BETHDOWNS12 pl, 60 yds· own 25Q4

FIUEND4 pl, 20 yds· own 15Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 7:01FIUAnthony Carrie 2 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)9–42
• Q4 12:12BETHJuan Dominguez 28 Yd Field Goal 9–35
• Q3 12:44FIUKeyone Jenkins 4 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)6–35
• Q2 1:29BETHJuan Dominguez 22 Yd Field Goal 6–28
• Q2 5:17FIUDevonte Lyons 35 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–28
• Q2 9:43FIUKeyone Jenkins 6 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–21
• Q2 14:49FIUKejon Owens 16 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–14
• Q1 8:34FIUKejon Owens 2 Yd Run (Robert Czeremcha Kick)3–7
• Q1 11:46BETHJuan Dominguez 35 Yd Field Goal 3–0

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →