
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUST | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| UGA | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
UGA up 15 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,206 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Austin Peay 6, Georgia 28.
Yes — the model's pick (UGA) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had UGA pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Chris Parson pass complete to Jackson Head for 1 yd to the UGA 1
Chris Parson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 34 yds to the UGA 26 for a 1ST down
Nate Frazier run for 9 yds to the APSU 47 Nate Frazier fumbled, recovered by APSU Ellis Ellis Jr.
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