Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Alabama A&M

Arkansas

▸

Final

Razorback Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
ALAB	7	0	0	0	7
ARK	10	21	14	7	52

ALABTeam statsARK

235Total yards552

166Pass358

69Rush194

12First downs29

1-123rd down9-14

2Turnovers0

26:21Possession33:39

Q4 13:51ARKMike Washington Jr. 27 Yd pass from KJ Jackson (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–52
Q3 2:53ARKAndreas Paaske 5 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–45
Q3 11:07ARKCJ Brown 14 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–38
Q2 0:06ARKO'Mega Blake 6 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–31
Q2 2:12ARKJalen Brown 5 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–24
Q2 13:41ARKRaylen Sharpe 35 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)7–17
Q1 3:37ARKScott Starzyk 53 Yd Field Goal 7–10
Q1 6:28ALABMaurice Edwards IV 6 Yd Run (Victor Barbosa Kick)7–7
Q1 10:03ARKCJ Brown 16 Yd pass from Taylen Green (Scott Starzyk Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

ARK −47

Against the number

ALAB covered

line ARK −47

What the numbers say

ALAB lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 13% explosive on a 36% success rate

Kickoff156 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

ARK (top)ALAB (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ARK 100%

Closing line

ARK −47

Closing total

64.0

Model line

—

Actual result

ALAB 7 – 52 ARK

Alabama A&M

PassCornelious Brown IV 9/19, 130 YDS
RushKaden Dixon 5 CAR, 37 YDS
RecTravaunta Abner 3 REC, 49 YDS

Arkansas

PassTaylen Green 24/31, 322 YDS, 6 TD
RushMike Washington Jr. 9 CAR, 79 YDS
RecO'Mega Blake 7 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD

25.2sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

134

Points / snap

0.44

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

ARK up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

ARK went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WKansas State vs Southeast Missouri State45-0 WMichigan State vs Richmond45-14 WSoutheast Missouri State vs Lindenwood45-7 WMontana State vs Stetson57-20 WMissouri State vs Utah Tech59-14

FAQ

What was the final score of Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas?

Alabama A&M 7, Arkansas 52.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (ARK) was correct.

ALAB

ARK

36%

Success rate

50%

0.10

EPA / pass

0.78

-0.02

EPA / rush

0.03

44%

Early-down success

48%

31%

Pass success

59%

42%

Rush success

41%

13%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

17%

25%

Stuffed rush rate

16%

57%

Pass rate

53%

7.9

Avg 3rd-down distance

9.1

ALAB

7.9 yards to go on 3rd down

56 scrimmage snaps

ARK

9.1 yards to go on 3rd down

78 scrimmage snaps

ALAB		ARK
235	Total yards	552
166	Passing yards	358
69	Rushing yards	194
12	First downs	29
1-12	3rd down	9-14
0-0	4th down	0-0
15/29	Comp/Att	26/36
5.7	Yards per pass	9.9
2.7	Yards per rush	4.9
2	Turnovers	0
7-42	Penalties	3-20
26:21	Possession	33:39

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

ALABTeam statsARK

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas: Final Score & Recap

ALABTeam statsARK

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Alabama A&M vs. Arkansas?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?