Army vs. Temple: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
ARMYTeam statsTEM
- Q4 1:54ARMYCam Schurr 18 Yd pass from Dewayne Coleman (Trey Gronotte Kick)42–14
- Q4 7:36ARMYBryson Daily 12 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)35–14
- Q4 11:19TEMDaniel Evert 54 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Evan Simon Pass to Antonio Jones for Two-Point Conversion)28–14
- Q3 1:10TEMDante Wright 29 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)28–6
- Q3 5:22ARMYKanye Udoh 28 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)28–0
- Q3 10:50ARMYBryson Daily 9 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)21–0
- Q2 11:50ARMYBryson Daily 8 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)14–0
- Q1 9:48ARMYNoah Short 61 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)7–0
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- TEM played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and ARMY did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.5 vs 3rd & 7.5
- PassBryson Daily 2/6, 54 YDS
- RushBryson Daily 24 CAR, 152 YDS, 3 TD
- RecCasey Reynolds 1 REC, 27 YDS
- PassEvan Simon 19/30, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushJoquez Smith 4 CAR, 8 YDS
- RecDante Wright 8 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsARMY up 22 entering the 4th quarter. Across 822 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 9:48ARMY +11%
Noah Short run for 61 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
- Q2 11:50ARMY +7%
Bryson Daily run for 8 yds for a TD (Trey Gronotte KICK)
FAQ
What was the final score of Army vs. Temple?
Army 42, Temple 14.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ARMY) was correct.
| ARMY | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 489 | Total yards | 219 |
| 72 | Passing yards | 224 |
| 417 | Rushing yards | -5 |
| 23 | First downs | 12 |
| 6-11 | 3rd down | 7-15 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 3/7 | Comp/Att | 19/30 |
| 10.3 | Yards per pass | 7.5 |
| 7.3 | Yards per rush | -0.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 3-25 | Penalties | 1-10 |
| 35:20 | Possession | 24:40 |
Costliest call
Q2 0:00 ARMY go for it on 4th & 10 at ARMY 47. The model preferred punt, a gap of 0.37 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 1:54ARMYCam Schurr 18 Yd pass from Dewayne Coleman (Trey Gronotte Kick)42–14
- Q4 7:36ARMYBryson Daily 12 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)35–14
- Q4 11:19TEMDaniel Evert 54 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Evan Simon Pass to Antonio Jones for Two-Point Conversion)28–14
- Q3 1:10TEMDante Wright 29 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)28–6
- Q3 5:22ARMYKanye Udoh 28 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)28–0
- Q3 10:50ARMYBryson Daily 9 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)21–0
- Q2 11:50ARMYBryson Daily 8 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)14–0
- Q1 9:48ARMYNoah Short 61 Yd Run (Trey Gronotte Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEM Elo 1141, ARMY Elo 1499 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEM +11.9 (23% to win) — 2.6 points clear of TEM's market line of +14.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2024
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesArmy leads 8–7 · Army has won 4 straight · 27% have been one-possession games
| ARMY | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| +10.0 (#35) | CORE overall | -22.5 (#127) |
| +10 / -0 | offense / defense | -19 / +4 |
| 3.77 | points / drive | 1.37 |
| 1.95 | allowed / drive | 2.45 |
| 15% | three-and-outs | 36% |
| -27 | pass over expected | +2 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →