Portland State vs. Oregon: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Portland State

Oregon

▸

Final

Autzen Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
PORT	7	0	0	0	7
ORE	22	28	17	14	81

PORTTeam statsORE

200Total yards729

52Pass381

148Rush348

9First downs37

4-153rd down3-7

1Turnovers0

28:41Possession31:23

Q4 2:04OREJayden Limar 17 Yd Run (Grant Meadors Kick)7–81
Q4 11:12OREDante Dowdell 3 Yd Run (Grant Meadors Kick)7–74
Q3 2:08ORECamden Lewis 41 Yd Field Goal 7–67
Q3 9:56OREGary Bryant Jr. 21 Yd pass from Ty Thompson (Grant Meadors Kick)7–64
Q3 14:09OREGary Bryant Jr. 10 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Grant Meadors Kick)7–57
Q2 1:14OREJordan James 9 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)7–50
Q2 5:56OREBucky Irving 56 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)7–43
Q2 10:42OREJordan James 4 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)7–36
Q2 11:11OREJordan James 9 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)7–29
Q1 2:14ORETroy Franklin 32 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)7–22
Q1 5:53OREBucky Irving 52 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)7–15
Q1 7:01PORTChance Miller 9 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)7–8
Q1 11:01ORETroy Franklin 13 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Terrance Ferguson Run for Two-Point Conversion)0–8

How the model called it

Market line

ORE −48

Against the number

ORE covered

line ORE −48

Kickoff143 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

ORE (top)PORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ORE 100%

Closing line

ORE −48

Closing total

65.0

Model line

—

Actual result

PORT 7 – 81 ORE

Portland State

PassDante Chachere 5/14, 35 YDS, 1 TD
RushDante Chachere 6 CAR, 53 YDS
RecJaden Casey 3 REC, 17 YDS

Oregon

PassBo Nix 23/27, 287 YDS, 3 TD
RushBucky Irving 4 CAR, 119 YDS, 2 TD
RecTroy Franklin 7 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD

27.9sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

129

Points / snap

0.68

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

ORE up 60 entering the 4th quarter. Across 48 historically comparable game states (within ±3 pts and ±5 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

ORE went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WUNLV vs Bryant74-14 WIndiana vs Western Illinois77-3 WOle Miss vs Mercer73-7 WCoastal Carolina vs Duquesne66-7 WArkansas-Pine Bluff vs Little Rock59-0

FAQ

What was the final score of Portland State vs. Oregon?

Portland State 7, Oregon 81.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (ORE) was correct.

PORT

ORE

21%

Success rate

71%

-0.03

EPA / pass

0.73

-0.08

EPA / rush

0.91

20%

Early-down success

73%

25%

Pass success

67%

19%

Rush success

76%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

19%

27%

Stuffed rush rate

35%

Pass rate

54%

6.4

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.1

PORT

6.4 yards to go on 3rd down

57 scrimmage snaps

ORE

5.1 yards to go on 3rd down

72 scrimmage snaps

PORT		ORE
200	Total yards	729
52	Passing yards	381
148	Rushing yards	348
9	First downs	37
4-15	3rd down	3-7
0-1	4th down	2-2
8/20	Comp/Att	33/38
2.6	Yards per pass	10.0
4.0	Yards per rush	10.2
1	Turnovers	0
4-50	Penalties	2-20
28:41	Possession	31:23

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

PORTTeam statsORE

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Portland State vs. Oregon?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Portland State vs. Oregon: Final Score & Recap

PORTTeam statsORE

How the model called it

What was the final score of Portland State vs. Oregon?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?