Northwestern (IA) vs. Drake: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Northwestern (IA)
▸
Drake0-1
Final/OT
Drake Stadium
NORTTeam statsDRAK
369Total yards353
224Pass253
145Rush100
27First downs21
5-133rd down6-12
0Turnovers1
31:55Possession28:05
- OT 0:00NORTKonner McQuillan 16 Yd Run 33–24
- OT 0:00DRAKShane Dunning 40 Yd Field Goal21–24
- Q4 0:43NORTKonner McQuillan 38 Yd pass from Jalyn Gramstad (Jalyn Gramstad Pass to Michael Storey for Two-Point Conversion)21–21
- Q4 6:12DRAKTrey Radocha 23 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)13–21
- Q3 2:53NORTEli Stader 31 Yd Field Goal 13–14
- Q2 1:02DRAKIan Corwin 9 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)10–14
- Q2 3:45NORTLogan Meyer 2 Yd Run (Eli Stader Kick)10–7
- Q2 7:10DRAKDavion Cherwin 1 Yd Run (Shane Dunning Kick)3–7
- Q1 10:22NORTEli Stader 49 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Kickoff117 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
DRAK (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: DRAK 0%
Northwestern (IA)
- PassJalyn Gramstad 25/35, 224 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJalyn Gramstad 19 CAR, 114 YDS
- RecMichael Storey 10 REC, 81 YDS
Drake
- PassLuke Bailey 24/32, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushDoe Boyland 9 CAR, 46 YDS
- RecSam Rodriguez 5 REC, 60 YDS
29.4sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
96
Points / snap
0.53
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsDRAK up 4 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,448 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
65%
DRAK went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Northwestern (IA) vs. Drake?
Northwestern (IA) 27, Drake 24.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked DRAK, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
NORT
DRAK
56%
Success rate
50%
0.15
EPA / pass
0.64
0.40
EPA / rush
-0.14
63%
Early-down success
47%
48%
Pass success
56%
68%
Rush success
44%
13%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
13%
5%
Stuffed rush rate
35%
60%
Pass rate
52%
8.4
Avg 3rd-down distance
8.4
NORT
8.4 yards to go on 3rd down
48 scrimmage snaps
DRAK
8.4 yards to go on 3rd down
48 scrimmage snaps
| NORT | DRAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 369 | Total yards | 353 |
| 224 | Passing yards | 253 |
| 145 | Rushing yards | 100 |
| 27 | First downs | 21 |
| 5-13 | 3rd down | 6-12 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 25/35 | Comp/Att | 24/32 |
| 6.4 | Yards per pass | 7.9 |
| 5.2 | Yards per rush | 3.7 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-36 | Penalties | 14-153 |
| 31:55 | Possession | 28:05 |
NORT
5/6 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
DRAK
2/4 with the model
−1.2 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q3 11:01 DRAK punt on 4th & 3 at NORT 48. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.69 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishNORT 5/11 scoring drives← own end zone →DRAK 4/10 scoring drives
DRAKPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 16Q1
NORTFG6 pl, 23 yds· own 45Q1
DRAKPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 18Q1
NORTTD11 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q1
DRAKTD19 pl, 83 yds· own 17Q1
DRAKTD4 pl, 2 yds· opp 25Q1
NORTTD3 pl, 25 yds· opp 25Q1
NORTTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
DRAKTD7 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
NORTMISS8 pl, 45 yds· own 25Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q3
DRAKPUNT4 pl, 20 yds· own 32Q3
NORTFG13 pl, 73 yds· own 13Q3
DRAKPUNT8 pl, 53 yds· own 6Q3
DRAKINT3 pl, 21 yds· own 31Q4
NORTMISS8 pl, 54 yds· own 12Q4
DRAKTD9 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q4
NORTPUNT4 pl, 20 yds· own 28Q4
DRAKPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 38Q4
NORTTD11 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q4
NORTMISS3 pl, 23 yds· own 39Q4
- OT 0:00NORTKonner McQuillan 16 Yd Run 33–24
- OT 0:00DRAKShane Dunning 40 Yd Field Goal21–24
- Q4 0:43NORTKonner McQuillan 38 Yd pass from Jalyn Gramstad (Jalyn Gramstad Pass to Michael Storey for Two-Point Conversion)21–21
- Q4 6:12DRAKTrey Radocha 23 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)13–21
- Q3 2:53NORTEli Stader 31 Yd Field Goal 13–14
- Q2 1:02DRAKIan Corwin 9 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)10–14
- Q2 3:45NORTLogan Meyer 2 Yd Run (Eli Stader Kick)10–7
- Q2 7:10DRAKDavion Cherwin 1 Yd Run (Shane Dunning Kick)3–7
- Q1 10:22NORTEli Stader 49 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →