Lindenwood vs. Southeast Missouri State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Lindenwood1-0
Southeast Missouri State0-1
▸Final
Houck FieldConference game
LINDTeam statsSOUT
250Total yards488
122Pass274
128Rush214
17First downs25
4-153rd down6-13
3Turnovers0
25:11Possession34:49
- Q4 8:32SOUTDamoriea Vick 7 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)7–45
- Q4 13:38LINDCole Dugger 18 Yd Run (Logan Seibert Kick)7–38
- Q2 0:30SOUTHenry Pickens III 72 Yd Interception Return (DC Pippin Kick)0–38
- Q2 8:00SOUTGeno Hess 2 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)0–31
- Q2 12:32SOUTDamoriea Vick 28 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)0–24
- Q1 0:10SOUTGeno Hess 2 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)0–17
- Q1 4:14SOUTDC Pippin 37 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 9:52SOUTRyan Flournoy 2 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)0–7
What the numbers say
- LIND played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and SOUT did not face the same ones. 3rd & 6.9 vs 3rd & 4.9
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
SOUT (top)LIND (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SOUT 100%
Lindenwood
- PassCole Dugger 17/39, 122 YDS, 3 INT
- RushRobert Giaimo 15 CAR, 67 YDS
- RecChase Lanckriet 4 REC, 29 YDS
Southeast Missouri State
- PassPaxton DeLaurent 27/35, 267 YDS, 3 TD
- RushGeno Hess 20 CAR, 115 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDamoriea Vick 10 REC, 101 YDS, 2 TD
23.7sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
152
Points / snap
0.34
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsSOUT up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 182 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
SOUT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Lindenwood vs. Southeast Missouri State?
Lindenwood 7, Southeast Missouri State 45.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (SOUT) was correct.
LIND
SOUT
35%
Success rate
54%
-0.30
EPA / pass
0.48
0.01
EPA / rush
0.29
35%
Early-down success
51%
37%
Pass success
49%
32%
Rush success
59%
7%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
12%
21%
Stuffed rush rate
24%
59%
Pass rate
45%
6.9
Avg 3rd-down distance
4.9
LIND
6.9 yards to go on 3rd down
69 scrimmage snaps
SOUT
4.9 yards to go on 3rd down
83 scrimmage snaps
| LIND | SOUT | |
|---|---|---|
| 250 | Total yards | 488 |
| 122 | Passing yards | 274 |
| 128 | Rushing yards | 214 |
| 17 | First downs | 25 |
| 4-15 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 17/39 | Comp/Att | 29/37 |
| 3.1 | Yards per pass | 7.4 |
| 4.4 | Yards per rush | 5.2 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 2-30 | Penalties | 6-75 |
| 25:11 | Possession | 34:49 |
LIND
4/7 with the model
−2.1 pts · −0.0% win prob
SOUT
3/6 with the model
−1.7 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q1 2:58 LIND punt on 4th & 1 at LIND 30. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.07 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishLIND 2/12 scoring drives← own end zone →SOUT 6/11 scoring drives
SOUTTD13 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q1
LINDINT5 pl, 10 yds· own 24Q1
SOUTFG8 pl, 21 yds· opp 40Q1
LINDPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 21Q1
SOUTTD8 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q1
LINDPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q1
SOUTTD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q2
LINDPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 24Q2
SOUTTD9 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q2
LINDPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 34Q2
SOUTPUNT6 pl, 35 yds· own 25Q2
LINDTD11 pl, 50 yds· own 20Q2
LINDEND3 pl, -1 yds· own 25Q2
LINDDOWNS10 pl, 44 yds· own 31Q3
SOUTPUNT6 pl, 20 yds· own 25Q3
LINDINT6 pl, 39 yds· own 10Q3
SOUTPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 44Q3
LINDTD13 pl, 77 yds· own 23Q3
SOUTTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
LINDPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q4
SOUTPUNT7 pl, 17 yds· own 40Q4
LINDPUNT5 pl, 19 yds· own 14Q4
SOUTEND2 pl, -7 yds· midfieldQ4
- Q4 8:32SOUTDamoriea Vick 7 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)7–45
- Q4 13:38LINDCole Dugger 18 Yd Run (Logan Seibert Kick)7–38
- Q2 0:30SOUTHenry Pickens III 72 Yd Interception Return (DC Pippin Kick)0–38
- Q2 8:00SOUTGeno Hess 2 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)0–31
- Q2 12:32SOUTDamoriea Vick 28 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)0–24
- Q1 0:10SOUTGeno Hess 2 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)0–17
- Q1 4:14SOUTDC Pippin 37 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 9:52SOUTRyan Flournoy 2 Yd pass from Paxton DeLaurent (DC Pippin Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →