Kennesaw State vs. Chattanooga: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Kennesaw State
Chattanooga
▸Final
Finley Stadium
KENNTeam statsCHAT
283Total yards399
181Pass276
102Rush123
12First downs23
3-123rd down5-10
0Turnovers2
28:00Possession32:00
- Q4 3:42KENNConor Cummins 19 Yd Field Goal 20–27
- Q4 8:38KENNGabriel Benyard 29 Yd pass from Jonathan Murphy (Conor Cummins Kick)17–27
- Q4 10:05CHATJude Kelley 21 Yd Field Goal 10–27
- Q3 2:45KENNConor Cummins 41 Yd Field Goal 10–24
- Q3 7:05CHATJavin Whatley 32 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)7–24
- Q3 9:03KENNJonathan Murphy 29 Yd Run (Conor Cummins Kick)7–17
- Q2 4:12CHATSam Phillips 12 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)0–17
- Q2 9:21CHATJude Kelley 26 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 6:15CHATSam Phillips 15 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)0–7
What the numbers say
- KENN played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and CHAT did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.7 vs 3rd & 4.4
- KENN lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 13% explosive on a 39% success rate
Kickoff104 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
CHAT (top)KENN (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: CHAT 100%
Kennesaw State
- PassJonathan Murphy 12/16, 181 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJonathan Murphy 17 CAR, 32 YDS, 1 TD
- RecGabriel Benyard 3 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
Chattanooga
- PassChase Artopoeus 23/28, 276 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushAilym Ford 17 CAR, 58 YDS
- RecJamoi Mayes 6 REC, 112 YDS
41sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
86
Points / snap
0.55
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsCHAT up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,139 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
88%
CHAT went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Kennesaw State vs. Chattanooga?
Kennesaw State 20, Chattanooga 27.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (CHAT) was correct.
KENN
CHAT
39%
Success rate
55%
0.39
EPA / pass
0.70
0.08
EPA / rush
0.03
43%
Early-down success
54%
35%
Pass success
70%
42%
Rush success
42%
13%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
11%
16%
Stuffed rush rate
21%
51%
Pass rate
49%
8.7
Avg 3rd-down distance
4.4
KENN
8.7 yards to go on 3rd down
39 scrimmage snaps
CHAT
4.4 yards to go on 3rd down
47 scrimmage snaps
| KENN | CHAT | |
|---|---|---|
| 283 | Total yards | 399 |
| 181 | Passing yards | 276 |
| 102 | Rushing yards | 123 |
| 12 | First downs | 23 |
| 3-12 | 3rd down | 5-10 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 12/16 | Comp/Att | 23/28 |
| 11.3 | Yards per pass | 9.9 |
| 2.9 | Yards per rush | 4.0 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 7-64 | Penalties | 6-55 |
| 28:00 | Possession | 32:00 |
KENN
4/6 with the model
−0.8 pts · −0.0% win prob
CHAT
1/4 with the model
−2.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 0:06 CHAT punt on 4th & 1 at CHAT 44. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.18 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishKENN 4/10 scoring drives← own end zone →CHAT 5/10 scoring drives
KENNPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
CHATTD13 pl, 92 yds· own 8Q1
KENNMISS8 pl, 40 yds· own 25Q1
CHATFG15 pl, 59 yds· own 32Q1
KENNMISS7 pl, 44 yds· own 25Q2
CHATTD2 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q2
KENNPUNT6 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q2
CHATPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 35Q2
CHATPUNT5 pl, 10 yds· own 35Q3
KENNTD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q3
CHATTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
KENNPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 26Q3
KENNFG4 pl, 0 yds· opp 24Q3
CHATFG15 pl, 72 yds· own 25Q3
KENNFG6 pl, 25 yds· opp 27Q4
KENNTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q4
CHATFUM3 pl, 13 yds· own 16Q4
CHATPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q4
KENNDOWNS9 pl, 15 yds· own 9Q4
CHATUncateg1 pl, 0 yds· opp 24Q4
- Q4 3:42KENNConor Cummins 19 Yd Field Goal 20–27
- Q4 8:38KENNGabriel Benyard 29 Yd pass from Jonathan Murphy (Conor Cummins Kick)17–27
- Q4 10:05CHATJude Kelley 21 Yd Field Goal 10–27
- Q3 2:45KENNConor Cummins 41 Yd Field Goal 10–24
- Q3 7:05CHATJavin Whatley 32 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)7–24
- Q3 9:03KENNJonathan Murphy 29 Yd Run (Conor Cummins Kick)7–17
- Q2 4:12CHATSam Phillips 12 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)0–17
- Q2 9:21CHATJude Kelley 26 Yd Field Goal 0–10
- Q1 6:15CHATSam Phillips 15 Yd pass from Chase Artopoeus (Jude Kelley Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →