Kansas vs. West Virginia: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
KUTeam statsWVU
- OT 0:00KUCobee Bryant 86 Yd Interception Return 55–42
- OT 0:00KUQuentin Skinner 4 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)49–42
- Q4 0:35WVUCJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (JT Daniels Pass to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for Two-Point Conversion)42–42
- Q4 4:04WVUCasey Legg 28 Yd Field Goal 42–34
- Q4 10:59KUDaniel Hishaw Jr. 30 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)42–31
- Q4 12:58WVUCasey Legg 27 Yd Field Goal 35–31
- Q3 4:00KUDevin Neal 2 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)35–28
- Q3 11:32KUDaniel Hishaw Jr. 3 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)28–28
- Q2 0:29KUDevin Neal 17 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)21–28
- Q2 3:11WVUBryce Ford-Wheaton 5 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)14–28
- Q2 8:26KUDevin Neal 6 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)14–21
- Q2 13:15WVUBryce Ford-Wheaton 67 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)7–21
- Q2 14:57KUMason Fairchild 10 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)7–14
- Q1 5:03WVUCJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:19WVUSam James 59 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassJalon Daniels 18/29, 219 YDS, 3 TD
- RushJalon Daniels 12 CAR, 85 YDS
- RecLuke Grimm 6 REC, 66 YDS
- PassJT Daniels 27/39, 365 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushTony Mathis Jr. 16 CAR, 59 YDS
- RecBryce Ford-Wheaton 11 REC, 152 YDS, 2 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWVU up 7 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,299 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q4 0:00WVU +100%
JT Daniels pass complete to Kaden Prather for 22 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST down
- OT 0:00KU +89%
Quentin Skinner 4 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)
- Q4 2:17KU +62%
Reis Vernon punt for 43 yds
- Q4 0:00WVU +62%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the Kans 40
- Q4 0:00KU +57%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28
- Q4 10:59KU +42%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. 30 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)
FAQ
What was the final score of Kansas vs. West Virginia?
Kansas 55, West Virginia 42.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked WVU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| KU | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 419 | Total yards | 511 |
| 219 | Passing yards | 365 |
| 200 | Rushing yards | 146 |
| 24 | First downs | 27 |
| 11-15 | 3rd down | 8-15 |
| 1-1 | 4th down | 3-3 |
| 18/29 | Comp/Att | 27/39 |
| 7.6 | Yards per pass | 9.4 |
| 5.6 | Yards per rush | 3.8 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 6-70 | Penalties | 8-65 |
| 27:33 | Possession | 32:27 |
Costliest call
Q3 7:00 KU punt on 4th & 1 at KU 36. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.83 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- OT 0:00KUCobee Bryant 86 Yd Interception Return 55–42
- OT 0:00KUQuentin Skinner 4 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)49–42
- Q4 0:35WVUCJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (JT Daniels Pass to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for Two-Point Conversion)42–42
- Q4 4:04WVUCasey Legg 28 Yd Field Goal 42–34
- Q4 10:59KUDaniel Hishaw Jr. 30 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)42–31
- Q4 12:58WVUCasey Legg 27 Yd Field Goal 35–31
- Q3 4:00KUDevin Neal 2 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)35–28
- Q3 11:32KUDaniel Hishaw Jr. 3 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)28–28
- Q2 0:29KUDevin Neal 17 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)21–28
- Q2 3:11WVUBryce Ford-Wheaton 5 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)14–28
- Q2 8:26KUDevin Neal 6 Yd Run (Jacob Borcila Kick)14–21
- Q2 13:15WVUBryce Ford-Wheaton 67 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)7–21
- Q2 14:57KUMason Fairchild 10 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Jacob Borcila Kick)7–14
- Q1 5:03WVUCJ Donaldson 1 Yd Run (Casey Legg Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:19WVUSam James 59 Yd pass from JT Daniels (Casey Legg Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WVU Elo 1490, KU Elo 1194 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WVU -14.2 (83% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2022
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#31 of 108 in 2022 by biggest miss · #30 of 132 in 2022 by longest odds.
The 2022 upset archive →West Virginia leads 11–3 · 21% have been one-possession games
| KU | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| +10.1 (#33) | CORE overall | -1.7 (#71) |
| +17 / +7 | offense / defense | +3 / +4 |
| 2.96 | points / drive | 2.21 |
| 3.42 | allowed / drive | 2.81 |
| 27% | three-and-outs | 28% |
| -2 | pass over expected | +1 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →