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Fresno State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 11-18 · AdjEM +0.5, 168 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+0.5168 of 364
AdjO
104.6228 of 364
AdjD
104.1111 of 364
AdjT
70.4163 of 364

Fresno State went from -2.9 (#264) on 2025-11-10 to +0.5 (#168) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +1.6 (#152) on 2026-02-16.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 29 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.1%189
TOV%
17.3%300
OREB%
167.4%37
FTA/FGA
33.2%232
Opp eFG%
52.1%221
Opp TOV%
17.2%75
DREB%
-12.7%246
Opp FTA/FGA
28.1%33

Games11-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Fresno State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-05vsSouth Carolina UpstateL 66-67—
11-08vsLong Beach StateW 82-62—
11-12vsUC San DiegoL 73-78+11.7
11-15vsUtah ValleyW 75-74+13.3
11-18vsStephen F. AustinW 80-78+3.3
11-21vsNew OrleansW 85-76+2.9
11-26vsPepperdineW 76-53+8.5
11-30vsCal State BakersfieldL 71-76+9.1
12-06@ArkansasL 58-82-14.5
12-10@Cal State NorthridgeL 87-89-0.7
12-20@UNLVL 72-84-6.1
12-30vsUtah StateL 63-72-7.9
01-03vsNevadaL 65-66-0.3
01-06@San José StateW 70-55-2.1
01-10@San Diego StateL 52-71-12.4
01-13vsColorado StateW 79-69-1.1
01-17vsWyomingW 63-60-2.5
01-21@New MexicoL 74-83-13.2
01-31@Air ForceW 79-62+6.9
02-03vsUNLVW 98-96+3.6
02-07@NevadaL 59-69-10.0
02-10@Utah StateL 78-91-16.7
02-14vsAir ForceW 93-63+15.9
02-17@WyomingL 82-92-6.5
02-21vsNew MexicoL 78-80-4.0
02-24@Colorado StateL 70-74-7.4
02-28vsBoise StateL 53-69-1.1
03-07@Grand CanyonL 60-85-8.7
03-11@Colorado StateL 63-67-8.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.