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Missouri State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

CUSA · 13-17 · AdjEM -2.5, 209 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-2.5209 of 364
AdjO
106.1188 of 364
AdjD
108.6228 of 364
AdjT
69.3217 of 364

Missouri State went from -3.5 (#257) on 2025-11-17 to -2.5 (#208) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -1.3 (#194) on 2026-02-09.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-172026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.1%191
TOV%
15.7%197
OREB%
92.9%183
FTA/FGA
44.3%9
Opp eFG%
52.1%218
Opp TOV%
15.6%180
DREB%
3.4%203
Opp FTA/FGA
40.5%305

Games13-17

“Ours” is our projected margin for Missouri State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-11vsArkansas StateL 85-86—
11-15@UT ArlingtonL 49-67—
11-22vsUT Rio Grande ValleyW 74-67+5.2
11-24vsLong Island UniversityL 61-75+6.4
12-06@TulsaL 74-98-19.2
12-12@XavierL 57-75-13.0
12-16vsOral RobertsW 63-62+5.9
12-23vsLindenwoodW 70-65+0.5
12-29@DelawareW 61-43-6.3
01-02vsUTEPW 79-55+5.8
01-04vsNew Mexico StateW 89-82-0.7
01-07@Kennesaw StateL 80-90-6.4
01-10vsFlorida InternationalW 79-71+3.4
01-14@Western KentuckyL 72-87-6.7
01-17@Middle TennesseeL 87-90-8.8
01-22@New Mexico StateW 84-75-9.7
01-24@UTEPW 62-57-0.7
01-28vsSam HoustonL 71-80-1.3
01-31vsJacksonville StateW 74-67+4.9
02-07@LibertyL 76-79-11.3
02-12vsLouisiana TechL 78-79+6.9
02-14vsDelawareL 67-76+8.4
02-18vsKennesaw StateL 87-91+1.2
02-21@Florida InternationalL 67-70-5.3
02-26@Louisiana TechL 70-72-2.3
02-28@Sam HoustonL 81-86-9.7
03-05vsWestern KentuckyW 87-74-0.1
03-07vsMiddle TennesseeL 63-75+1.3
03-10@Florida InternationalW 75-72-5.3
03-11@LibertyW 77-69-9.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.