Zachary Palmer-Smith

RB·UL Monroe·2025

Zachary Palmer-Smith is a Explosive Back for UL Monroe. Zachary's 2025 season ranks in the 13th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 111 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Zachary Palmer-Smith's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

660 Rush yards4 Rush TD115 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

7 Receptions47 Rec yards0 Rec TD6.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency13
Volume48
Explosiveness54
Consistency0
Receiving28

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)13th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.36 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.73 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Southern Miss (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSt. Francis (PA)	W29-0	—	6	21	3.5	0	—	—	—	-0.19
2	@Alabama	L0-73	14.8	4	8	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.56
4	@UTEP	W31-25	-17.5	6	12	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.41
5	vsArkansas State	W28-16	-8.8	8	84	10.5	1	—	—	—	0.52
6	@Northwestern	L7-42	5.8	3	4	1.3	0	—	—	—	-0.14
7	@Coastal Carolina	L8-23	-15.1	8	37	4.6	0	—	—	—	0.04
8	vsTroy	L14-37	-4.8	10	78	7.8	0	1	4	0	0.38
9	@Southern Miss	L21-49	-7.1	11	111	10.1	1	—	—	—	0.73
10	vsOld Dominion	L6-31	5.9	18	96	5.3	0	1	0	0	-0.07
12	vsSouth Alabama	L14-26	-12.7	6	15	2.5	0	—	—	—	-0.30
13	@Texas State	L14-31	2.3	15	80	5.3	1	2	21	0	0.18
14	@Louisiana	L27-30	-10.1	20	114	5.7	1	3	22	0	0.49

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

16.7%

Passing plays

2.6%

Rushing plays

28.2%

Standard downs

21.0%

Passing downs

9.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.02
Passing downs: 0.83
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.48 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).