#0Tre Richardson

WR·Vanderbilt·2025

Tre Richardson is a Versatile WR for Vanderbilt. Tre's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 83 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tre Richardson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

62 Rush yards0 Rush TD11 Carries5.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

47 Receptions810 Rec yards7 Rec TD17.2 Yards/rec

Returns

18 Kick returns526 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume33
Explosiveness68
Consistency65
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.78 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Virginia Tech (SP+ -10).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Javion Posey	Florida Atlantic	2020	53	0.450	1.4	23.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsCharleston Southern	W45-3	—	5	74	14.8	0	25	0.74
2	@Virginia Tech	W44-20	-10.1	3	54	18.0	1	26	1.78
3	@South Carolina	W31-7	5.9	4	34	8.5	0	11	0.42
4	vsGeorgia State	W70-21	-24.5	—	—	—	—	—	—
5	vsUtah State	W55-35	-3.1	6	74	12.3	0	30	0.80
6	@Alabama	L14-30	14.8	2	6	3.0	0	6	-0.28
8	vsLSU	W31-24	10.3	—	—	—	—	—	-0.49
9	vsMissouri	W17-10	14.4	4	62	15.5	0	37	0.59
10	@Texas	L31-34	16.2	2	21	10.5	0	15	-0.21
11	vsAuburn	W45-38	11.6	3	124	41.3	1	57	1.16
13	vsKentucky	W45-17	1.8	6	159	26.5	3	71	1.32
14	@Tennessee	W45-24	15.0	6	75	12.5	1	28	0.48
20	vsIowa	L27-34	19.7	6	127	21.2	1	75	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

11.5%

Passing plays

19.4%

Rushing plays

3.2%

Standard downs

11.7%

Passing downs

10.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.34
Passing downs: 1.46
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.69 / 0.07

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).