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Skyler Locklear

#9Skyler Locklear

QB·UTEP·2025

Skyler Locklear is a Dual-Threat QB for UTEP. Skyler's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 287 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Skyler Locklear's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
117/211 Comp/Att1418 Pass yards13 Pass TD11 INT55.5% Comp %
Rushing
396 Rush yards8 Rush TD103 Carries3.8 Yards/carry
Punting
1 Punts39 Punt yards39.0 Yards/punt39 Long1 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat97
  • Consistency0
  • Clutch57
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.34 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 0.38 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Jacksonville State (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.3800.38Wk 2 vs UT Martin: -0.24 EPA/play2Wk 5 vs Louisiana Tech: -0.18 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Liberty: -0.14 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Sam Houston: +0.08 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Kennesaw State: +0.13 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Jacksonville State: +0.38 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Missouri State: +0.14 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs New Mexico State: +0.07 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Delaware: +0.29 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
2vsUT MartinW42-171/300076.4370-0.24
5vsLouisiana TechL11-30-1.34/6741154.460-0.18
7vsLibertyL8-19-9.09/17900256.3581-0.14
8vsSam HoustonW35-17-27.821/262362160.14820.08
10@Kennesaw StateL20-33-5.414/291602029.37700.13
11vsJacksonville StateL27-30-6.716/322442141.18220.38
12@Missouri StateL24-38-10.714/291250044.85620.14
13vsNew Mexico StateL31-34-15.516/301512132.63710.07
14@DelawareL31-61-10.922/393384536.3-500.29

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
52.4%
Passing plays
72.8%
Rushing plays
30.5%
Standard downs
50.4%
Passing downs
56.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.23
Pass / Rush EPA
0.13 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.