Skip to content
Moliki Matavao
Moliki Matavao

#88Moliki Matavao

TE·UCLA·2024

Moliki Matavao is a Slot Specialist TE for UCLA. Moliki's 2024 season produced 48.0 total EPA across 45 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Moliki Matavao's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
41 Receptions506 Rec yards2 Rec TD12.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness36
  • Consistency83
  • Pass-Down66
Player type
Slot Specialist TE

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸10 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.71 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.86 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Rutgers (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.860−1.86Wk 1 vs Hawai'i: +1.09 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Indiana: +1.14 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs LSU: -0.34 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Oregon: +0.45 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Penn State: +1.00 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Minnesota: +0.68 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Rutgers: +1.86 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Nebraska: +1.51 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Washington: +1.17 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs USC: +1.39 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Fresno State: +0.98 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@Hawai'iW16-13-10.934214.00201.09
3vsIndianaL13-4220.133210.70151.14
4@LSUL17-3415.911111.0011-0.34
5vsOregonL13-3426.012121.00210.45
6@Penn StateL11-2724.63186.0091.00
7vsMinnesotaL17-2110.43237.7090.68
8@RutgersW35-326.4610417.30251.86
10@NebraskaW27-205.545213.00221.51
12@WashingtonL19-313.17689.71271.17
13vsUSCL13-1911.92157.51101.39
14vsFresno StateW20-13-3.8812015.00350.98

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.8%
Passing plays
11.2%
Rushing plays
0.4%
Standard downs
4.7%
Passing downs
10.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.01
Passing downs
1.11
Pass / Rush EPA
1.08 / 0.55

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.