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King Davis

#10King Davis

King Davis is a Committee Back for Missouri State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So King Davis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
13 Rush yards0 Rush TD4 Carries3.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume9
  • Explosiveness6
  • Consistency50
  • Receiving0
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.1800.18Wk 4 vs UT Martin: +0.18 EPA/play4Wk 10 vs Florida International: -0.04 EPA/play10
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDEPA/play
4vsUT MartinW42-10393.000.18
10vsFlorida InternationalW28-21-10.5144.00-0.04

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
3.1%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
6.6%
Standard downs
2.7%
Passing downs
3.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
Passing downs
-0.04
Pass / Rush EPA
— / -0.04

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.