Keevan Lucas is a Red Zone Weapon WR for Tulsa. Keevan's 2016 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 126 plays — a elite rate for the WR.
Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keytaon Thompson | Mississippi State | 2017 | 70 | 0.460 | 1.2 | 32.2 |
| Quadree Henderson | Pittsburgh | 2016 | 63 | 0.530 | 1.6 | 33.4 |
| DeAndre Hughes | Air Force | 2021 | 60 | 0.470 | 1.3 | 28.2 |
| Savion Williams | TCU | 2024 | 56 | 0.450 | 1.1 | 25.2 |
| Javion Posey | Florida Atlantic | 2020 | 53 | 0.450 | 1.4 | 23.8 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Rec | Rec Yds | Avg | Rec TD | Long | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsSan José State | W45-10 | -13.6 | 6 | 112 | 18.7 | 0 | 46 | 1.20 |
| 2 | @Ohio State | L3-48 | 22.4 | 6 | 53 | 8.8 | 0 | 15 | 0.09 |
| 3 | vsNorth Carolina A&T | W58-21 | — | 4 | 119 | 29.8 | 3 | 52 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Rec 7 · Rec Yds 72 · Avg 10.3 · Rec TD 3
| 1.64 |
| 4 | @Fresno State | W48-41 | -16.9 | 8 | 111 | 13.9 | 2 | 40 | 0.66 |
| 6 | vsSMU | W43-40 | -10.8 | 12 | 113 | 9.4 | 0 | 19 | 0.27 |
| 7 | @Houston | L31-38 | 10.1 | 5 | 88 | 17.6 | 0 | 36 | 0.68 |
| 8 | vsTulane | W50-27 | -14.6 | 3 | 67 | 22.3 | 1 | 46 | 0.92 |
| 9 | @Memphis | W59-30 | 7.7 | 9 | 91 | 10.1 | 2 | 25 | 0.87 |
| 10 | vsEast Carolina | W45-24 | -9.0 | 7 | 91 | 13.0 | 1 | 40 | 0.09 |
| 11 | @Navy | L40-42 | 6.8 | 2 | 75 | 37.5 | 1 | 74 | 0.75 |
| 12 | @UCF | W35-20 | -2.2 | 4 | 68 | 17.0 | 1 | 45 | 0.17 |
| 13 | vsCincinnati | W40-37 | -3.6 | 8 | 120 | 15.0 | 1 | 47 | 0.40 |
| 1 | vsCentral Michigan | W55-10 | -6.1 | 7 | 72 | 10.3 | 3 | 28 | 0.64 |
