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Jaylen Jenkins

#5Jaylen Jenkins

Jaylen Jenkins is a Committee Back for Texas State.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaylen Jenkins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
170 Rush yards2 Rush TD31 Carries5.5 Yards/carry
Receiving
1 Receptions5 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.0 Yards/rec
Returns
23 Kick returns622 KR yards1 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume22
  • Explosiveness50
  • Consistency2
  • Receiving14
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency2th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Peak game: 1.13 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Eastern Michigan (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.1301.13Wk 1 vs Eastern Michigan: +1.13 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UTSA: +0.59 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Arizona State: -0.12 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Nicholls: -0.52 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Arkansas State: -0.16 EPA/play6
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsEastern MichiganW52-27-14.757414.811.13
2@UTSAW43-363.77527.410.59
3@Arizona StateL15-343.94143.50150-0.12
4vsNichollsW35-39182.00-0.52
6@Arkansas StateL30-31-8.8393.00-0.16
7vsTroyL41-48-4.8
8@MarshallL37-40-4.5
10vsJames MadisonL20-5212.3
11@LouisianaL39-42-10.1
14vsSouth AlabamaW49-26-12.7
20vsRiceW41-10-14.8331.00

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
7.7%
Passing plays
0.6%
Rushing plays
12.2%
Standard downs
8.7%
Passing downs
5.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.12
Passing downs
-0.14
Pass / Rush EPA
0.11 / -0.13

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.