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Jalen Macon
Jalen Macon

#14Jalen Macon

QB·Northern Illinois·2025

Jalen Macon is a Dual-Threat QB for Northern Illinois. Jalen's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 63 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalen Macon's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
9/21 Comp/Att105 Pass yards1 Pass TD0 INT42.9% Comp %
Rushing
216 Rush yards5 Rush TD45 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume60
  • Dual-Threat95
  • Consistency3
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency3th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.00 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -37).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.000−1.00Wk 6 vs Miami (OH): -0.40 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.21 EPA/play7Wk 12 vs Massachusetts: +1.00 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Western Michigan: -0.26 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kent State: +0.22 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
6vsMiami (OH)L14-25-3.4—————60-0.40
7@Eastern MichiganL10-16-14.7—————1600.21
12@MassachusettsW45-3-36.63/4731098.49831.00
13vsWestern MichiganL19-35-1.41/750014.9310-0.26
14vsKent StateL31-35-19.35/10270028.26520.22

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
21.0%
Passing plays
24.4%
Rushing plays
20.1%
Standard downs
18.7%
Passing downs
26.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.04
Passing downs
0.51
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.09 / 0.38

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.