#7Jalen Kitna

QB·UAB·2025

Jalen Kitna is a Dual-Threat QB for UAB. Jalen's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 304 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalen Kitna's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

223/337 Comp/Att2462 Pass yards13 Pass TD11 INT66.2% Comp %

Rushing

-39 Rush yards0 Rush TD34 Carries-1.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat93
Consistency35
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency35th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.44 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.63 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Alabama State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsAlabama State	W52-42	—	18/23	247	2	0	90.0	14	0	0.63
2	@Navy	L24-38	6.2	22/32	304	2	2	88.8	-3	0	0.59
3	vsAkron	W31-28	-13.9	30/45	341	2	1	30.9	-13	0	0.31
4	@Tennessee	L24-56	15.0	38/51	364	2	1	47.0	-18	0	0.25
6	vsArmy	L13-31	0.8	24/42	259	1	1	25.2	5	0	0.18
7	@Florida Atlantic	L33-53	-8.7	29/41	261	1	0	30.2	-28	0	-0.04
10	@UConn	L19-38	5.1	2/5	9	0	1	0.9	—	—	-0.74
12	vsNorth Texas	L24-53	13.8	26/45	281	1	2	53.9	-14	0	0.11
13	vsSouth Florida	L18-48	11.6	20/36	230	0	3	33.0	14	0	0.02
14	@Tulsa	W31-24	-10.0	14/17	166	2	0	75.3	4	0	0.39

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

51.4%

Passing plays

88.9%

Rushing plays

5.7%

Standard downs

43.4%

Passing downs

70.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.07
Passing downs: 0.45
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.26 / 0.37

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).