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Jaden Rashada

#8Jaden Rashada

Jaden Rashada is a Dual-Threat QB for Arizona State. Jaden's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 79 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jaden Rashada's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing
44/82 Comp/Att485 Pass yards4 Pass TD3 INT53.7% Comp %
Rushing
23 Rush yards0 Rush TD14 Carries1.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat90
  • Consistency79
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Southern Utah.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.4000.40Wk 1 vs Southern Utah: +0.40 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Oklahoma State: +0.18 EPA/play2Wk 13 vs Arizona: +0.05 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsSouthern UtahW24-2118/312362027.5200.40
2vsOklahoma StateL15-276.716/291671130.1300.18
13vsArizonaL23-5914.110/22821213.51800.05

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
47.6%
Passing plays
97.6%
Rushing plays
8.7%
Standard downs
36.8%
Passing downs
68.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.01
Passing downs
0.57
Pass / Rush EPA
0.27 / 0.35

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.