#1Hudson Card

QB·Purdue·2024

Hudson Card is a Dual-Threat QB for Purdue. Hudson's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 246 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Hudson Card's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

144/248 Comp/Att1641 Pass yards9 Pass TD7 INT58.1% Comp %

Rushing

-27 Rush yards0 Rush TD46 Carries-0.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat51
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.10 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.95 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Indiana State.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
1	vsIndiana State	W49-0	—	24/25	273	4	0	87.8	16	0.95
3	vsNotre Dame	L7-66	23.9	11/24	124	1	2	10.2	-42	-0.40
4	@Oregon State	L21-38	-6.7	7/17	56	1	1	15.2	33	-0.39
5	vsNebraska	L10-28	5.5	18/25	174	1	1	33.9	-22	0.04
6	@Wisconsin	L6-52	3.0	11/21	111	0	0	42.6	5	-0.02
10	vsNorthwestern	L20-26	-8.2	21/37	267	1	0	67.6	4	0.24
11	@Ohio State	L0-45	31.2	9/19	108	0	1	19.2	-9	-0.34
12	vsPenn State	L10-49	24.6	11/20	151	0	0	53.8	4	0.30
13	@Michigan State	L17-24	-4.6	26/47	342	1	1	52.9	-20	0.67
14	@Indiana	L0-66	20.1	6/13	35	0	1	7.7	4	-0.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

50.5%

Passing plays

82.4%

Rushing plays

10.6%

Standard downs

42.2%

Passing downs

66.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.11
Passing downs: 0.51
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).